Philippines COVID-19 deaths to double unless N95 mask mandate
New data from and about the Philippines is both puzzling (deaths in 2020 dropped) and alarming (SARS2 fatalities may double by May). “Wash your hands, and wear a mask,” says President Duterte. But his government has described and the people are wearing some of the stupidest crap imaginable for infectious disease prevention. SARS2 is in the air. It is an aerosolized disease. And the world has over and over established the standards for infectious respiratory disease control. Wear an N95 mask and keep it on every time you go out. Here is how:
How to re-use your N-95 or KN-95 mask up to five times.
In the Philippines, mask wearing is slack says the Philippines President. Those persons wearing masks are often seen with an ear-looped cloth hanging on their face below their nose or even below their chin. The nasal passages are key entry points for the virus to infect a person (the eyes are a direct access point to nasal passage tissue).
“All persons are mandated to wear full-coverage face shields together with face masks, ear loop masks, indigenous, reusable, or do-it-yourself masks, or other facial protective equipment, which can effectively lessen the transmission of Covid-19, whenever they go out of their residences,” according to the IATF-EID resolution.
Not the US Centers for Disease Control research nor the World Health Organization data have indicated any benefit from public wearing of face shields. But there is a certain danger. The cheapest and most popular face shields in the Philippines are open at both ends. These are not permitted for medical use because they actually scoop the ambient air with all its virus or bacterial particles and flow that past the nose and eyes. Those two places are the only likely parts of the body SARS-CoV-2 would infect.
Considering the impact of several mutations of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, nothing transformative but reportedly more infectious, most experts agree with Philippines President Duterte saying there is no room for carelessness especially with the more transmissible variations of the virus such as the B.1.1.7 lineage from Great Britain. It has worrisome variations of its N501Y spike protein, now under scientific study, and another disturbing variant was found in Brazil, also under study (See New SARS2 Strains: carelessness is not an option.)
As the graph below shows, several epidemiology models indicate the sum of deaths in the Philippines caused by COVID-19 will more than double by the end of April unless universal N95 mask wearing is implemented, says biostatistical scientists at the Civil Society Partners for Solidarity against COVID-19 team in Singapore.
Is COVID-19 saving lives in Philippines? Deaths were down in 2020 says a Philippines government preliminary report. (Graph is below.)
Around the world, billions of people are being told to wear N95 masks at times when they are out of their home, to stop the pandemic. That includes Europe and America.
The Philippines has a ready supply of legitimate respirator masks made in the Philippines (excellent quality, say tech journals) and massively available Chinese GB2626–2006 (commercial grade) GB19083-2010 (medical grade) KN-95 respirators.
The ’95’ is the percentage-measure of the respirator’s effectiveness in blocking microscopic virus particles. That’s better than a vaccine. Filipinos could also start wearing N95 masks and should start wearing real medical face shields (mandated) and stop wearing face shields that are open at both ends (contraindicated by the fact they are for an entirely different purpose which requires flow-through) and scoop ambient air into wearer’s eyes, say more than a few experts.
Wearing a proper mask is the way ahead. Wear an N-95 mask and goggles at all times outside the home. Don’t eat out.
2021 is not going well in the Philippines. Murders have the headlines, not SARS2 until Monday when the Philippines President implored Filipinos to start heeding public health guidelines.
“Ang problema into (The problem here) is how you maybe obey the protocols of maghugas then mask (washing your hands and wearing your face mask)… Kasi ‘yung iba nagma-mask tapos nakikita ko ‘yung ilong ninyo sumasabit doon (I see some people whose nose is) just on the edge of the mask, the upper portion. So it does not really give a relief at all kung ganoon ang — ka-careless ang tao na gumagamit (if the people using them are that careless),” said Rodrigo Duterte in a Monday address to the Philippines Republic.
New stats say COVID-19 has not killed as many Filipinos as Rodrigo Duterte’s bloody war on drug users and critics. Murder is still high on the list of causes of death.
Eleven men and the family of flight attendant Christine Angelica Dacera, who was found dead on New Year’s Day, await an autopsy result this week to learn if they will be recharged for the rape and murder of the 23-year-old. Dacera’s body was embalmed prior to a second autopsy and some of the evidence previously collected appeared to have been allowed to disintegrate, according to Ferdinand Lavin, the deputy director of the Philippines National Bureau of Investigations. Rape/slay of women is not a high priority for Philippines prosecutors and judges since President Duterte encourages rape.
Maybe the murderers will stay ahead of COVID-19? Experts say “No, probably not.”
Weekend warrior EJK teams are saying, “business is bad”, off the record of course, and FPMag has never seen these people offing anyone so maybe they are braggarts talking tough to a female, or maybe they really are true Duterte DDS hire-ees who get a gun, bullets, a motorbike for each team of two, and a payment for each name on the list to be murdered. That’s the story of many who have been interviewed under condition of anonymity.
COVID-19 will hurt the Philippines in a shorter time than a massive tally of Extra Judicial Killings according to hundreds of media reports, and the data of both the International Criminal Court and the Government of the Philippines.
COVID-19 is getting worse.
The Philippines government reports that since 2019 when EJKs were peaking, the number of deaths in the Philippines plummeted in 2020. That may not be accurate. The statistics bureau says the data is “preliminary”.
COVID-19 was saving lives in 2020? Deaths dropped according to the Duterte government.
The country has been locked down hard since March 2020 and the EJK business has been waning. Yes, there have been plenty of political murders, but fewer, mostly enemies of Duterte killed by his less obvious organizations, supporters et. al. The popular explanation today for the murder of activists or journalists is not about drugs but about red tagging. That means somebody put the person on a list of communist sympathizers. The culture’s appearance is a bizarre form of late 1940s early-50s McCarthyism.
But Filipinos have been locked down on the longest militarized shutdown in the world. That reportedly makes killing people on the lists more difficult without a home invasion, a dangerous prospect because the number of guns in the Philippines is very high.
While the Duterte government reports that the number of deaths are down in the midst of a pandemic, officials say, ‘that report is preliminary‘.
Filipinos are not permitted to travel from town to town, unless they have paid about a month’s salary per person to get a COVID-19 test done and a permit to travel to another city. That’s a big business. There are no free tests for the public, only Manila’s official dynasties.
Of the estimated 37,000 ‘mysterious homicides‘ in Duterte’s 4.5 years reign thus far, most are attributed to Duterte’s drug war EJKs.
COVID-19 by some calculations has reportedly killed about 10,200 (but additional excess inexplicable deaths are substantially higher).
By 1 May 2021, official Philippines reported deaths will exceed 22,000 based on the reported COVID-19 events reported to the current date.
“The Red Cross and the World Health organizations claim they are doing wonderful work but that is a pack of lies. Neither have much relevance to the 60 to 75 million people living in the rural regions. In fact it is unlikely they have a clue what the real population might be in those regions,” says Karinna Angeles, a Philippines nurse practitioner.
“People in the Philippines need to stop this pandemic by wearing N-95s and getting vaccinated,” she added. “Our health system is not coping.”January 19, 2022
Here are the reported and estimated Philippines data.
- Country: Philippines (pop 111,880,678,)
- Reported COVID-19 Cases: 3,270,758
- Reported sum of Deaths: 52,962 (estimated:88,717)
- Reported Cured: 2,933,338
- Beta: Estimated total cases including reported plus estimated mild and asymptomatic: 16,778,989 Cases and Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) = 0.53 %. (Reported deaths and CFR are not accurate)
- 88,717 (0.0793% of population) Total deaths (estimated actual) including errors and unreported likely-cause excess deaths such as people who never went to a hospital but had COVID-19 indications but never tested.
Data collected and reported by: Civil Society Solidarity Partners against COVID-19