Op-Ed: Canadian fail. A Pandemic is only stopped by all of us, not tyranny. Not Vaccine Nationalism either.

Some Canadians have been reckless. It only takes a few in a pandemic. No wonder the new-authoritarian Doug Ford is panicking with cop teams on the sidewalks and at the provincial borders. Blowback has been swift and harsh. Ford needs to be politely tapped on the shoulder by his extremist Conservative Party before the people of Ontario take to the streets and do it the hard way. Inciting recklessness is what Ford is doing. A health care solution is needed; Doctors’ thinking, not stinging rebukes from desperate politicians.

Op-Ed by Micheal John, Editor

Ford’s is the government that lost 55 million N95 respirators and other personal protection equipment that were stored following the 2003 SARS1 outbreak. Those masks could have ended the pandemic for Ontario according to a Harvard doctor.

Playing with “vaccine regionalism” is another of Ford’s dangerous games normally played around the world by despots.

The Canadian Broadcasting Corporation brings truth to power: “Ontario is giving priority access to COVID-19 vaccines to some neighbourhoods that have been far less affected by the pandemic than other areas not designated as hot spots,” data analysis by CBC News reveals.

FPMag‘s close look at the electoral map tells the story. Ford needs those seats but opposition riding associations have a grip.

People need to push back against SARS2 not government clowns. Why waste your time? Are you with me?

Ordinary people are going to stop the pandemic, not authoritarian government talking heads who conspire and commit Vaccine Nationalism. North America helped push herd immunity another few years.

Ordinary people will beat the SARS2 virus by using an easy medical solution, not a militaristic solution, as does Ontario’s authoritarian government:

  1. getting vaccinated ASAP and getting all family vaccines updated;
  2. wearing FFP Respirator masks to protect one’s self and the public at large (governments want you to keep your infection to yourself with some kind of spit barrier but you must protect your own self for your family’s sake with a proper respirator);
  3. maintaining social distancing;
  4. Canadians will constantly wash their hands;
  5. Canadians will isolate the sick persons of their family in well-cleaned and well-supported rooms and do the mitigation of spread by wearing our PPE and thoroughly cleaning; and
  6. Canadians will stay home as much as possible finding long-term work-a-rounds for past norms.

If ordinary people don’t do these things, they will get themselves into trouble; and me too. That’s how it works. What Canadians and Americans have done thus far is extend the pandemic years for the entire human race. That’s how it is going. Sad. Look at Canada’s numbers. RECKLESS.

What impacts one impacts all in a pandemic. Wear your mask.

Medical solutions are needed to fight the SARS-CoV-2 Virus, not authoritarian forcefulness against a population that has “had enough”. The blowback will be harsh against Canadian leaders who try to pull a Tatmadaw on the people of Ontario.

Dougls Ford, Premier of Ontario

Douglas Ford and his extremist Conservative Party are begging severe blowback as they smash democratic process in Ontario having failed miserably in their pandemic response and got caught lying about COVID-19 deaths in Ontario.
Medical solutions are needed to fight the SARS-CoV-2 Virus, not authoritarian forcefulness against a population that has “had enough”. The blowback will be harsh against Canadian leaders who try to pull a Tatmadaw on the people of Canada. That’s how it looks.
Pinterest File Photo Photo Art/Cropping/Enhancement: Rosa Yamamoto FPMag

A world away from Canada in a small village of Myanmar, what happens to these people happens to Canadians because of the pandemic. And vice versa.

People are standing up to the Tatmadaw authoritarians in Myanmar. Authoritarianism doesn’t work.

A world away from Canada In a small village of Myanmar

Standing up to the Tatmadaw authoritarians in Myanmar. In a small village of Myanmar, a country where the military in a coup has slaughtered hundreds and hundreds more have disappeared, people are in the streets. They have no money for masks. In a pandemic what happens to one of us happens to all of us as the saying goes. Photo is Source supplied. Art/Cropping/Enhancement: Rosa Yamamoto FPMag

The old normal is gone forever? This pandemic will last for years because the selfish world we all live in forgot that what happens to any one person in a pandemic happens to all people. It’s not too late to change that.

Herd Immunity may be 4.6 years away from tomorrow because of Vaccine Nationalism says a new study.  The new paradigm will see one after another waves of new variants, waves that are large and small surges.  It’s too late to stop mutations that scoff at the immunity of vaccines. Existing vaccines may already be less effective against some VOC.

Some computer models show this pandemic rolling out for over a decade killing most humans if vaccinations do not exceed 90%. The worst scenarios involve three to four years of unfettered infections wherein the virus learns far too much about the human body and morphs into something unstoppable.

Then there will be new pandemics. We know of viruses in the wild that can kill as many as 90% of those persons infected. Better wear your respirator mask when out.

MERS-CoV had a fatality rate of 34.3%. It’s a cousin of SARS-CoV-2.

Climate change is wiping out many species that leave behind their viral loads. Some of these viruses find a home in human bodies.

If Canada and the USA don’t help Mexico beat this SARS-CoV-2 and its ugly mutations, everyone is in touble.

One additional but most important step is to urge the Canadian government to assist poorer nations with weaker health care systems to vaccinate their populations.

Canada, a rich country, has ordered enough vaccines to vaccinate its population five times over, say some estimates. That behaviour say some scientists delays herd immunity 4. 6 years. 

That is reprehensible Vaccine Nationalism because it locks up millions of vaccinations that a country like Mexico could be using. Mexico has a case fatality rate of 9.2% and growing. That country will, no matter what America and Canada achieve, infect North America over and over and over again.

But Canada is not hogging as many vaccines as the United States and Britain. Between them there is a billion-plus excess vaccinations locked up and kept from countries desperately in need.

If the excess vaccines were going into arms among the two billion people around the South China Sea where Canada works with allies trying to start a war with China, the pandemic would flash bang gone.

Canada is spending many $millions to put on a naval shit-show designed to scare China or scare someone with its geriatric City Class 4,770-ton plus ‘destroyers’ (anything over 4000 tons is a destroyer not a frigate) slinking through the Taiwan Straight.

Being among the 2 billion people around the South China Sea I see the conduct of America and its allies as gutless and cringe worthy.

Either stand up to China, or bug off. Mankind’s spending two trillion dollars last year, $1 trillion from America and  another from TROTW  on more weapons is going to go down in history as the East/West move that set off the incipient stage of mankind’s removal from Earth. That money could have ended this horror show.

If humans don’t address old existing pandemics, all humans are in trouble. That includes HIV/AIDS, measles, rubella, tetanus, diphtheria, pertussis and more.

Mankind must address all past pandemics.

HIV/AIDS has been around for 40 years and still no vaccine. There are test vaccines but they are unfunded. The big pharmaceutical companies are not interested. Almost one  million people die from HIV/AIDS each year.

In Myanmar the leading cause of HIV is rape.

In some countries HIV/AIDS is the leading cause of death.

“HIV Test and Treat Projects have not stopped because of the pandemic. There is an even greater need to ‘test and treat’, ” says RINJ Woman Sharon Santiago from the Philippines.

Author demonstrates PPE apparel needed during pandemic for Test-and-Treat- project

Author demonstrates PPE apparel needed during pandemic for Test-and-Treat- project in developing nations. We need to address all our past pandemics. HIV/AIDS has been around for 40 years and still no vaccine. There are test vaccines but unfunded. Almost 1 million people die from HIV/AIDS each year; in Myanmar the leading cause of HIV is rape; in some countries HIV/AIDS is the leading cause of death.  “HIV Test and Treat Projects have not stopped because of the Pandemic. There is an even greater need to ‘test and treat’, ” says RINJ Woman Sharon Santiago from the Philippines.
RINJ.org/hiv  Photo Credit: Sharon Santiago. Art/Cropping/Enhancement: Rosa Yamamoto FPMag

Editor’s note:

Three million people have died from COVID-19 in the past year. Some were friends. Some were parents, sisters, brothers, moms, dads. Nobody expected this. We miss our loved ones. Put on your mask and don’t be the next casualty, hoser.

Last Friday night I took a minute to walk down stairs in a hospital I was in and sat in the corner of the admitting room, watching the people come and go. There I was over 11,000 km from home in Toronto watching hell break lose.

One building of this Catholic, private hospital was FULL. It’s like this all around the world.


I thought about this ancient (likely over a million years ago in bats), primitive quasi-organism dividing us, defeating us, killing us.

I became a bunny-suited- masked, anonymous, Canadian, tired, no, I am exhausted, weeping tears in a quiet, dark corner for each one who died today. The cadavers were being wheeled out.

Every Number has a face.

Every number has a face. Photo Credit: Melissa Hemingway

Canada’s Trend lines show active cases and sum of all cases rising daily at or near record levels despite vaccinations.

Soon the death counts will jump.  (Learn how to get vaccinated.)

Honestly, this is a behaviour issue. Canadians are reckless. No wonder governments are panicking with swat teams at the provincial borders. That is reckless too. Doug Ford is a Rodrigo Duterte Wannabe A military approach to pandemic mitigation is killing Filipinos and smashing their country. You want to try that, Doug Ford?

Education has not been tried by Canadians. Teaching Canadians how to mask up with FFP Respirators will end the surge. Europe is doing that.

“We’re losing the battle between the variants and vaccines,’’ Ontario’s premier, Doug Ford, said on Friday as he announced new draconian measures wherein cops in Ontario will now stop drivers or pedestrians and ask for their address and reason for being outdoors.

Police checkpoints will block provincial borders with Manitoba and Quebec but not on the US border. That would offend Americans going back and forth into Canada from the most infected nation on the planet. Ford and his extremists are dangerous to Canada and could end it if their totalitarian ways spread across the other Conservative Provinces.

Click any image to enlarge and read.

Canada Active Cases soaring.

7:00PM Friday 16 April 2021
1,109,453 Cumulative Cases
23,591 Deaths
2.13% Case Fatality Rate
81710 Active Cases NCBI genome ID:86693
Genome size: 29,903 bases
Year of completion:2020
Chart and Data Source: Civil Society Solidarity Against COVID19

COVID-19 Statistics for Canada on June 27, 2022

Population: 38,745,871 adjusted for estimated real COVID-19 deaths

Reported:3,938,51541,876 1.06% CFR3,844,22752,412
Estimate:21,779,98854,438 *0.25% IFR21,258,575289,838

*Inferred IFR is an estimate only. The actual COVID-19 IFR may not be accurately calculated for the entire human race until long after the pandemic has ended.

Canada ProvincesDeathsCFR%CasesCuredActive
COVID-19 Totals:41,8761.063,938,5153,844,22752,412
* Quebec15,5591.441,083,4801,058,4189,503
First Nations7300.67109,364107,996638
Nova Scotia4210.4299,51497,6001,493
* PEI450.1139,99839,108845
* NWT220.1812,13512,09419
Sub Totals41,8761.063,938,5153,844,22752,412

Recoveries are estimated using a Canadian-specific algorithm. Canadian COVID-19 Data is weekly by the country. Some data CSPAC obtains from Public Health Units is updated daily.

* Quebec, * Northwest Territories, * Prince Edward Island data is current daily.
Note: Last available First Nations data is shown when provided by the federal government of Canada.

Below: Extensive Estimates using data from multiple sources.

Beta experimental estimates for Canada. Reported + unreported mild + asymptomatic COVID-19 infections.

The total actual number of infections in Canada including all the untested, unreported, asymptomatic infections is likely greater than 21,779,988 (56.21% of the population) including mild and asymptomatic cases. That would mean the estimated inferred average Infection Fatality Rate:
(IFR) is likely around 0.25%

Canadian COVID-19 deaths to 2022-06-27 are estimated to be 54,450 Using estimated IFR of 0.25% which is far below global average IFR.

54,450 (0.25% IFR) is the CSPaC estimated number of Canadian COVID-19 deaths (based on the inferred IFR) including those deaths unreported as COVID-19). The IHME estimates excess deaths in Canada to reach much higher than CSPaC estimates.

See The Lancet estimate of excess mortality from COVID-19 (Download PDF) in 191 countries/territories and 252 subnational units of select countries, from 1 January 2 0 2 0, to 31 December 2 0 2 1.

54438 Is the CSPaC estimated number of Canadian COVID-19 deaths based on a modified universal algorithm which factors more sophisticated public health infrastructure and also fewer available urgent care beds and facilities which is a problem in much of Canada in an emergency measures context.

The closeness of the two numbers derived from unique data and methods suggests their high probability. The blended data of three projections from three different biostatistician labs also confirms the estimates +/- .01%.

It is safe to say that Canadians have endured the grief of losing 54438 family members. Every number has a face. May their memory be forever a blessing to their families and friends.

Canada's advanced public health standards.

Canada and the USA both have a significantly lower than global average Infection Fatality Rate. (influenza has an IFR of .1% or 6 per 100k (2019)).

Ontario, Canada Reports

Ontario Regional Public Health Units (PHU) - Reported by Ontario Province.

These reports from the Ontario Provincial government differ significantly (much lower) from the data reported by individual Public Health Units (PHU). CSPaC includes links to each PHU to allow readers of this report to check the latest data from their public health unit.

Health UnitCasesDeathsCFRRecoveriesActive
Algoma District8,581570.7%8,44579
Brant County11,873830.7%11,74149
Durham Region63,0714960.8%62,295280
Eastern Ontario16,0972181.4%15,82158
Grey Bruce8,873690.8%8,76737
Haliburton Kawartha Pine Ridge9,4981111.2%9,33255
Halton Region49,6273270.7%49,057243
Hastings & Prince Edward Counties10,388630.6%10,25471
Huron Perth7,4281111.5%7,29126
Kingston Frontenac Lennox & Addington17,560600.3%17,298202
Lambton County11,9031461.2%11,72334
Leeds Grenville And Lanark District9,5671061.1%9,357104
Niagara Region41,5845481.3%40,829207
North Bay Parry Sound District6,132440.7%6,03751
Oxford Elgin-St.Thomas13,9911691.2%13,76755
Peel Region186,6161,3560.7%184,468792
Peterborough County-City7,607801.1%7,48146
Renfrew County And District4,827501.0%4,74433
Simcoe Muskoka District46,6344380.9%45,927269
Sudbury And District15,5221501.0%15,240132
Thunder Bay District12,907960.7%12,640171
Waterloo Region46,7564210.9%46,139196
Windsor-Essex County44,2246321.4%43,433159
York Region112,8551,0420.9%111,193620
Last Updated: 2022-06-27 Time 05:50:06 GMT. Source: CSPaC
This graph suggests Canadians are dodging social responsibilities.

Canadians don’t seem to get it. ICU statistics are just plain scary in some provinces. 7:00PM Friday 16 April 2021
1,109,453 Cumulative Cases
23,591 Deaths
2.13% Case Fatality Rate
81710 Active Cases 
Chart and Data Source: Civil Society Solidarity Against COVID19

The global picture June 27, 2022

SARS2 Update 2022-06-27 T:05:51 GMT

  • 254 Regions reported 548,232,792 cases
  • 16,285,052 cases active
  • 6,369,918 people reported killed by COVID-19
  • 1.16% is current Case Fatality Rate (CFR)
  • 525,577,822 survived COVID-19

Beta Technology Global Estimates

EPICENTER: USA (87,271,055)

  • 145.01% of the USA may have been infected or even reinfected including reported + estimated unreported mild and estimated asymptomatic (482,608,934.15) human infections, some of which may not have been ill in their first course of the disease, but could have spread the disease.
  • 1.19% is USA current Case Fatality Rate (CFR) &
  • 0.27% is estimated inferred average Infection Fatality Rate (IFR)
  • 1,303,044 estimated total COVID-19 deaths including unreported likely-cause excess deaths. According to projections of IHME, IHME calculation of excess deaths is slightly higher than what CSPaC is showing.