SARS2 to kill 100K Americans now to Christmas. How many will hunger kill?
“American politicians need to address the food crisis or face the wrath of the world,” says a Calais, Maine nurse who claims some patients are showing up with COVID-19 and an underlying comorbid condition of malnutrition.
“Shame on America. This has roots planted long before COVID-19,” she added. “And the failure to reach agreement on a stimulus and emergency humanitarian relief plan is an atrocity. People have no money and no food.”
This article seeks to explain the alarming USA data that gave cause to doctors’ who ordered their patients to, “stay home”.
By Micheal John
Americans may not realize this but the NGO/civil society world is looking at the USA in anticipation of a humanitarian disaster.
“Americans need to take responsibility for their actions and consider the outcome in the context of the humanitarian disaster unfolding across the entire country, not the ‘TV Reality Show in DC‘,” says Katie Alsop of The RINJ Foundation.
Bread, apples, bananas, vegetables, rice, flour, cheese, milk, canned goods, pasta, clean water, enough to feed thousands of hungry families, could have been bought with the peoples’ money spent on frivolous recounts and reckless jurist-insulting petitions to Courts that do indeed serve the people’s justice.
“The HVAC costs of the Congress and the Senate buildings could have paid for food instead of housing posturing representatives arguing and failing to deliver a starvation mitigation relief (“stimulus?”) budget,” says Alsop.
“It makes one want to take the collective body politic to the woodshed seeing crying American children with bellies swollen from hunger,” says nurse Monique Deslauriers who has peers who wonder why they just don’t go home and at least save themselves.
The United States reports 4,587,476 active COVID-19 cases today.
America also reports a Case Fatality Rate (CFR) of 2.1%. The math is ugly.
That means there is now an estimate of 96,337 deaths by Christmas day from the 4.6 million active cases of today. But there will be more Americans than that, dead, from COVID-19. Read on.
Stay Home. Stay home. Covid-19 Doctor’s orders. Art/Cropping/Enhancement: Rosa Yamamoto FPMag
“This year, Thanksgiving will be in my apartment in Seattle, far from my parents’ Chicago home. My siblings will be scattered across the country with their children. There will probably be a Zoom call and waves and smiles through a screen — a poor but necessary substitute for something much more joyous. But this is the only way to celebrate in 2020, because I am determined that this Thanksgiving will not be my family’s last,” writes Dr. Elisabeth Poorman who is an internal medicine physician and writer. She practices in Seattle and is on Twitter at @drpoorman.
Hospitalizations and deaths are alarming officials at the USA Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, The CDC strongly urged Americans, last week, not to travel for Thanksgiving.
“In addition to 96,337 deaths,” explains biostatistician Fred Harris, “each day is averaging another 100,000 cases which will have an outcome of roughly 2,000 more deaths from each day’s infection numbers. This will climb because the more infections there are, the more those infected persons will infect others.”
“As the virus begins to reinfect people after six months since their initial infection, a topic we know only a little about, patients still have damaged cells from their first infection. Their outcome is worsened and the suspicion is that the universe of all reinfected patients will have a much higher CFR. The incidence of death among third reinfections will be atrocious. So that is what a cavalier attitude is risking. SARS2 gets those people eventually. It does.
Recent studied reinfection cases are shown in this chart. More examples can be found here. It is suspected that next year reinfection of this year’s bad cases, will be severe.
Anecdotal accounts of reinfections have been observed to be popping up more numerous in recent comments on private medical networks. The graph here, as do others, indicates that the significant change in outcomes is worse for some patients.
| Date (2020) | Location | Age / Gender | Interval | 1st | 2nd |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov. 21 | South Korea | 21/F | 10 days | Mild | Mild |
| Nov. 10 | Belgium | 30s/F | 185 days | Mild (long) | Mild (milder) |
| Oct. 16 | Sweden | 53/F | 120 days | Mild | Mild (milder) |
| Oct. 14 | Spain | 62/M | 147 days | Mild | Serious |
| Oct. 12 | Netherlands | 89/F | 54 days | Moderate | Serious |
| Sept. 30 | Belgium | 30/M | 143 days | Mild | Mild |
| Sept. 30 | Belgium | 25/F | 115 days | Mild | Mild |
| Sept. 29 | Qatar | 20s/M | 45 days | N/A | N/A |
| Sept. 29 | Qatar | 40s/M | 70 days | N/A | N/A |
| Sept. 29 | Qatar | 40s/F | 87 days | N/A | N/A |
| Sept. 29 | Qatar | 20s/M | 54 days | N/A | N/A |
| Sept. 26 | United States | 60s | 118 days | Serious | Mild |
| Sept. 23 | India | 27/M | 60 days | Mild | more intense |
| Sept. 23 | India | 31/M | 59 days | None | Mild |
| Sept. 23 | India | 27/M | 13 days | None | Mild |
| Sept. 23 | India | 24/F | 48 days | Mild | more intense |
| Sept. 23 | United States | 42/M | 51 days | Mild | Serious |
| Sept. 15 | India | 28/F | 101 days | None | None |
| Sept. 15 | India | 25/M | 100 days | None | None |
| August 30 | Ecuador | 46/M | 47 days | Mild | Moderate |
| August 28 | United States | 25/M | 31 days | Mild | Serious |
| August 26 | Netherlands | 60s/M | 12 days | Mild | Serious |
| August 26 | Netherlands | 80s/M | 23 days | Mild | Mild |
| August 26 | Netherlands | 60+ | 60 days | N/A | N/A |
| August 24 | Belgium | 51/F | 93 days | Mild | Mild |
| August 24 | Hong Kong | 33/M | 123 days | Mild | None |
Anyone who thinks they can’t get this disease twice, needs to think again.
Non-vaccinated people can be reinfected by SARS-CoV-2 as many times as it takes to kill them, at intervals of 6-8 months depending on their antibody levels.
Source: the Civil Society Partners for Global Solidarity against COVID-19
This graph has terrifying implications for America shown at the bottom with 4,587,476 Active Cases. Meaning they are actively sick right now. Some 2.1% will die. In the next month, at 100,000 cases per day, the additional severe cases are going to swamp American hospitals, say the experts.
Click the graph image below to enlarge and read.
“America. Are you ready to follow doctors’ orders and stay home and stay safe or do you still want to play on the tracks in the path of a speeding locomotive?” quips Mr. Harris by way of a summary of the evidence.
Click image to enlarge. This graph has very stark warnings. Source: the Civil Society Partners for Global Solidarity against COVID-19 in Singapore
There are other factors. Many more will die before Christmas above this 96,337; about another 25,000 before Christmas of the 150,000 who will die from new infections occurring between now and Christmas, a kind of Grand Slam for the SARS2 virus derived from America’s likely epic failure-to-mitigate over Thanksgiving.
Plus, 0.75% of the infections that occurred in the past four weeks will still be passing in the time before Christmas (the statistically doomed who did not die yet).
“Not everyone is good at math,” advises nurse Deslauriers, “so don’t worry, just do something to protect your family, dear American friends, stay home,” she urges.
“These data projections are based on statistical evidence and the formulae that have been derived from the USA experience with COVID-19 in 2020,” says Harris.
One of the additional facts that needs to be considered is that the United States under reports its data, particularly deaths. That is not to imply a deliberate deception. It happens for many understood reasons.
In reality the COVID-19 deaths from today’s infections that occur before Christmas will be greater than 123,500. Biostatisticians have been able to verify their calculations against the known numbers of excess deaths that occur in any given period.
Statisticians are studying several different sets of numbers. They are all important. Active cases are important because it is the basis for predicting to some extent the amount of critical care and general care resources may be needed. Knowing this requires good statistical data on known cases and confirmed recoveries (two consecutive negative tests).
This is likely boring. There are many millions more cases that are not reported, of which there are a large number of deaths. So far depending on the state, that number is 1.2x to 1.31x where x = reported deaths right now and it will change as time goes by and more infections occur. Eventually those changes will yield the true Infection Fatality Rate (IFR)
The Civil Society Partners for Global Solidarity against COVID-19 out of Singapore have been watching the United States since the beginning of the pandemic in late 2019.
American scientific experts like Dr. Robert Redfield and Dr. Tony Fauci offer this guidance:
- “Stay home until 14 days after the last exposure to anyone who may have been infected with the SARS-CoV-2 and maintain social distance (at least 6 feet (2 meters)) from others at all times.
- “Self-monitor for symptoms.
- “Avoid contact with people at higher risk for severe illness from COVID-19.
- “Follow CDC guidance if symptoms develop.
- “Please study the data here at the Center For Diseases Control and follow the Public Health guidelines as if it is a religion to save your life.
- “If you have any questions, go here.”
June 27, 2022
U.S.A. (pop. 332,803,287)
- CoV19 Reported Cases: 88,391,882
- Current Reported Deaths:(CFR: 1.19%): 1,035,065 CSPaC.net estimated actual: 1,303,175
- Cured: 84,513,615
- Beta experimental: All time reported + unreported asymptomatic people maybe not sick, not immune, but possibly infectious and including the many people who have had several mild or asymptomatic infections: 482,657,587.09
- 145.03% of the USA may have been infected or even reinfected including reported + estimated unreported mild and estimated asymptomatic (482,657,587.09) human infections, some of which may not have been ill in their first course of the disease, but could have spread the disease.
- 1.19% is USA current Case Fatality Rate (CFR) &
- 0.27% is estimated inferred average Infection Fatality Rate (IFR)
- 1,303,175 estimated total COVID-19 deaths including unreported likely-cause excess deaths. According to projections of IHME, IHME calculation of excess deaths is slightly higher than what CSPaC is estimating.
- CoV19 Cases: 460,176,307
- Deaths: 5,335,466 | 1.16%
- Cured: 441,499,174
- Reported + estimated all unreported 3,033,582,085
Note: Total statistics for the United States do not include these offshore territories. The US Military is included as if it is an offshore territory, not reported as continental USA data but as USA overall totals and included in world totals. FPMag evaluates these separately for many reasons.
| Territory | Cases | Deaths | Recovered |
| Continental US | 87,279,853 | 1,035,065 | 1.19% | 83,802,378 |
| +US Military | 661,831 | 688 | 0.1% | 628,967 |
| +Guam | 51,234 | 371 | 0.7% | 50,338 |
| +Puerto Rico | 360,192 | 4,529 | 1.26% | 329,318 |
| +US Virgin Islands | 20,789 | 118 | 0.6% | 20,455 |
| +Northern Mariana Islands | 11,569 | 34 | 0.3% | 11,477 |
| +American Samoa | 6,414 | 31 | 0.5% | 5,958 |
| Totals | 88,391,882 | 1,040,805 | 84,513,615 |
The American Epicenter including ALL Territories has 17.53 % of global 'active' cases (2,837,462 USA (incl territories) / 16,184,869 Global), people infected with COVID-19 now.
Abundant proof that vaccines are working, an observation derived from unrelated data analysis.
As the epicenter we look at continental USA together with US territories and without. The significant decline in Case Fatality Rate (CFR) in the continental United States particularly, during 2 0 2 1, since vaccines became available, is believed to be due to vaccination rates and is abundant proof that the vaccines are working.
In order to avoid letting countries that refuse to report the sum of case recoveries, thus skewing global calculations, Burundi, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Britain, most provinces of Canada, Ecuador, FaeroeIslands, Falklands, Finland, France, French Polynesia, Hong Kong, Iceland, Mongolia, Laos, Netherlands, Norway, Peru, Portugal, Puerto Rico, Ukraine, South Korea, Tunisia, Sierra Leone, Sudan, Spain and Sweden 'recoveries' are estimated based on the current reported global recoveries as a percentage of all cases. (([reported recoveries]) divide (548,568,189 [Global Reported Sum of All Cases] less 29,596,809 [France Sum of Cases] less 901,739 [Ecuador Sum of Cases] less 12,681,820 [Spain Sum of Cases] less 8,152,778 [Netherlands Sum of Cases] less 2,515,769 [Sweden Sum of Cases] less 3,616,929 [Peru Sum of Cases])) = 96% a coefficient which is then adjusted according to the number of cases in the past 30 days and the new coefficient is applied to the sum of each of these nation's cumulative cases to estimate the missing recoveries data. In the case of France some additional hospital-sourced recovery data is factored.
| Reported: | ||||
| All USA | Sum of Cases | Deaths | Recovered | Active |
| Continental USA | 87,279,853 | 1,035,065 | 83,802,378 | 2,442,410 |
| USA+territories | 88,391,882 | 1,040,805 | 84,513,615 | 2,837,462 |
| Estimated: | ||||
| USA+territories | 482,657,587.09 | 1,303,175 | 467,360,291 | 13,998,290 |
See The Lancet estimate of excess mortality from COVID-19 (Download PDF) in 191 countries/territories and 252 subnational units of select countries, from 1 January 2 0 2 0, to 31 December 2 0 2 1.
See also IHME Estimates for America.
One million excess deaths, (800,000 reported deaths), by next April. Source:Source: the Civil Society Partners for Global Solidarity against COVID-19 in Singapore. Art: Rosa Yamamoto FPMag
COVID-19 Leadership Comparisons
U.S.A.: Joseph Biden
- 88,391,882 Cases
- 1,040,805 reported out of 1,303,175 Excess Deaths
- 84,513,615 Recoveries
India: Narendra Modi
- 43,407,046 Cases
- 525,020 Reported Deaths
- 42,787,606 Recoveries
Brazil: Jair Bolsonaro
- 32,078,638 Cases
- 670,459 Reported Deaths
- 30,566,088 Recoveries
UK: Boris Johnson
- 22,592,827 Cases
- 179,927 Reported Deaths
- 22,120,660 Recoveries
--- --- --- Compare --- --- ---
Germany: Olaf Scholz
- 27,771,111 Cases
- 140,734 Deaths
- 26,479,900 Recoveries
Netherlands: Mark Rutte
- 8,152,778 Cases
- 22,354 Deaths
- 7,986,395 Recoveries
Canada: Justin Trudeau
- 3,941,183 Cases
- 41,879 Deaths
- 3,847,110 Recoveries
China: Xi Jinping
- 225,565 Cases
- 5,226 Deaths
- 219,791 Recoveries
South Korea: Moon Jae-In
- 18,329,448 Cases
- 24,525 Deaths
- 17,774,010 Recoveries
New Zealand: Jacinda Ardern
- 1,314,145 Cases
- 1,421 Deaths
- 1,276,155 Recoveries
Taiwan: Tsai Ing-wen
- 3,613,345 Cases
- 6,254 Deaths
- 2,451,590 Recoveries
A Reckless USA President Super Spreader
White House Afflicted since 26 Sept. 2020
| 1 Unidentified Campaign Staff | Trump Campaign |
|---|---|
| 1 Unidentified Military | Driver Assigned to the US President |
| 11 unidentified persons | Debate preparation staff or media |
| 136 Secret Service Officers | Security details on Trump Campaign rallies. |
| 2 unidentified Pence Staffers | Exposed to Marty Obst |
| 2 unidentified Staffers | White House residence staff |
| Admiral Charles Ray | Vice Commandant of the Coast Guard |
| Al Drago | Press Room Photographer/Journalist |
| Andrew Giuliani | White House aide, Rudy's son |
| Barron Trump(14) | Son of Mr. and Mrs. Melania Trump |
| Ben Carson | United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development |
| Bill Stepien(42) | Trump campaign manager, former White House Director of Political Affairs |
| Boris Epshteyn | 2020 Trump campaign strategic advisor for coalitions |
| Brian Jack | White House Director of Political Affairs and Assistant to the President |
| Chad Gilmartin | White House Press Room Staff |
| Charlton Boyd | aide to Jared Kushner |
| Chris Christie(58) H | FormerGovernor of New Jersey |
| Chuck Grassley | US Senator |
| Claudia Conway(15) | Daughter of Kellyanne Conway |
| Corey Lewandowski | 2016 Trump campaign manager |
| Crede Bailey | Head of White House Security Office |
| David Bernhardt | Interior Secretary |
| David Bossie | Head of Citizens United; appointed by Trump to lead election challenge effort |
| Devin Nunes | US Representative from California |
| Donald Trump Junior | Son of 45th President of the United States |
| Donald Trump(74) H | 45th President of the United States |
| Gen. Gary Thomas | Marine Corps assistant commandant |
| Greg Laurie(68) | Senior pastor of Harvest Christian Fellowship |
| Healy Baumgardner | 2016 Trump campaign spokesperson and energy lobbyist |
| Hope Hicks(31) | Senior Counselor to the President |
| Jalen Drummond (31) | Assistant White House Press Secretary |
| Jayna McCarron (35) | (Lt. Cmdr.) US Coast Guard Aide to the President |
| Jeff Miller | Republican strategist and lobbyist |
| Jenna Ellis | Trump Campaign attorney |
| John I. Jenkins(65) | President of Notre Dame University |
| Karoline Leavitt | Assistant Press Secretary |
| Kayleigh McEnany (32) | White House press secretary |
| Kelly Loeffler | US Senator |
| Kellyanne Conway(53) | Former Counselor to the President |
| Liz and Dick Uihlein | Donors and founder of Uline |
| Marc Short(50) | Chief of Staff to M. Pence |
| Mark Meadows | White House Chief of Staff |
| Marty Obst(50) | Advisor to M. Pence |
| Matt Gaetz | Congressman from Florida |
| Melania Trump(50) | First Lady of the United States |
| Michael D. Shear & Wife | White House correspondent for The New York Times |
| Mike Bost(59) | US Representative from IL-12 exposed to Mike Lee (below) |
| Mike Lee (49) | United States Senator from Utah |
| Multiple unidentified staffers | White House staffers |
| Nicholas Luna (34) | Body man to Donald Trump |
| Nick Trainor | Trump Campaign Battleground States Director |
| Richard Walters | Chief of staff of the Republican National Committee |
| Rick Scott | US Senator, former Governor of Florida |
| Ron Johnson (65) | Senator from Wisconsin |
| Ronna McDaniel(47) | Chair of the Republican National Committee |
| Rudy Giuliani | Trump personal lawyer |
| Salud Carbajal (55) (D) | United States Representative from CA-24 (exposed to Mike Lee) |
| Stephen Miller (35) | Senior Advisor to the President |
| Thom Tillis (60) | United States Senator from North Carolina |
| Trish Scalia | Wife of Labor Secretary Eugene Scalia |
| Two unidentified journalists | White House press room journalists |
| unknown number of White House staffers | Attendees at Trump's Election Night party on 3 Nov. |
| Zach Bauer | Body Man to M. Pence |
