SARS2 to kill 100K Americans now to Christmas. How many will hunger kill?

---

“American politicians need to address the food crisis or face the wrath of the world,” says a Calais, Maine nurse who claims some patients are showing up with COVID-19 and an underlying comorbid condition of malnutrition.

“Shame on America. This has roots planted long before COVID-19,” she added. “And the failure to reach agreement on a stimulus and emergency humanitarian relief plan is an atrocity. People have no money and no food.”

This article seeks to explain the alarming USA data that gave cause to doctors’ who ordered their patients to, “stay home”.

---

By Micheal John

---

Americans may not realize this but the NGO/civil society world is looking at the USA in anticipation of a humanitarian disaster.

“Americans need to take responsibility for their actions and consider the outcome in the context of the humanitarian disaster unfolding across the entire country, not the ‘TV Reality Show in DC‘,” says Katie Alsop of The RINJ Foundation.

Bread, apples, bananas, vegetables, rice, flour, cheese, milk, canned goods, pasta, clean water, enough to feed thousands of hungry families, could have been bought with the peoples’ money spent on frivolous recounts and reckless jurist-insulting petitions to Courts that do indeed serve the people’s justice.

“The HVAC costs of the Congress and the Senate buildings could have paid for food instead of housing posturing representatives arguing and failing to deliver a starvation mitigation relief (“stimulus?”) budget,” says Alsop.

---

“It makes one want to take the collective body politic to the woodshed seeing crying American children with bellies swollen from hunger,” says nurse Monique Deslauriers who has peers who wonder why they just don’t go home and at least save themselves.

---

The United States reports 4,587,476 active COVID-19 cases today.

America also reports a Case Fatality Rate (CFR) of 2.1%. The math is ugly.

---

That means there is now an estimate of 96,337 deaths by Christmas day from the 4.6 million active cases of today. But there will be more Americans than that, dead, from COVID-19. Read on.

“This year, Thanksgiving will be in my apartment in Seattle, far from my parents’ Chicago home. My siblings will be scattered across the country with their children. There will probably be a Zoom call and waves and smiles through a screen — a poor but necessary substitute for something much more joyous. But this is the only way to celebrate in 2020, because I am determined that this Thanksgiving will not be my family’s last,” writes Dr. Elisabeth Poorman who is an internal medicine physician and writer. She practices in Seattle and is on Twitter at @drpoorman.

Hospitalizations and deaths are alarming officials at the USA Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, The CDC strongly urged Americans, last week, not to travel for Thanksgiving.

---

“In addition to 96,337 deaths,” explains biostatistician Fred Harris,  “each day is averaging another 100,000 cases which will have an outcome of roughly 2,000 more deaths from each day’s infection numbers. This will climb because the more infections there are, the more those infected persons will infect others.”

“As the virus begins to reinfect people after six months since their initial infection, a topic we know only a little about,  patients still have damaged cells from their first infection. Their outcome is worsened and the suspicion is that the universe of all reinfected patients will have a much higher CFR.  The incidence of death among third reinfections will be atrocious. So that is what a cavalier attitude is risking. SARS2 gets those people eventually. It does.

Recent studied reinfection cases are shown in this chart. More examples can be found here. It is suspected that next year reinfection of this year’s bad cases, will be severe.

Anecdotal accounts of reinfections have been observed to be popping up more numerous in recent comments on private medical networks. The graph here, as do others, indicates that the significant change in outcomes is worse for some patients.

Date (2020)	Location	Age / Gender	Interval	1st	2nd
Nov. 21	South Korea	21/F	10 days	Mild	Mild
Nov. 10	Belgium	30s/F	185 days	Mild (long)	Mild (milder)
Oct. 16	Sweden	53/F	120 days	Mild	Mild (milder)
Oct. 14	Spain	62/M	147 days	Mild	Serious
Oct. 12	Netherlands	89/F	54 days	Moderate	Serious
Sept. 30	Belgium	30/M	143 days	Mild	Mild
Sept. 30	Belgium	25/F	115 days	Mild	Mild
Sept. 29	Qatar	20s/M	45 days	N/A	N/A
Sept. 29	Qatar	40s/M	70 days	N/A	N/A
Sept. 29	Qatar	40s/F	87 days	N/A	N/A
Sept. 29	Qatar	20s/M	54 days	N/A	N/A
Sept. 26	United States	60s	118 days	Serious	Mild
Sept. 23	India	27/M	60 days	Mild	more intense
Sept. 23	India	31/M	59 days	None	Mild
Sept. 23	India	27/M	13 days	None	Mild
Sept. 23	India	24/F	48 days	Mild	more intense
Sept. 23	United States	42/M	51 days	Mild	Serious
Sept. 15	India	28/F	101 days	None	None
Sept. 15	India	25/M	100 days	None	None
August 30	Ecuador	46/M	47 days	Mild	Moderate
August 28	United States	25/M	31 days	Mild	Serious
August 26	Netherlands	60s/M	12 days	Mild	Serious
August 26	Netherlands	80s/M	23 days	Mild	Mild
August 26	Netherlands	60+	60 days	N/A	N/A
August 24	Belgium	51/F	93 days	Mild	Mild
August 24	Hong Kong	33/M	123 days	Mild	None

Anyone who thinks they can’t get this disease twice, needs to think again.

Non-vaccinated people can be reinfected by SARS-CoV-2 as many times as it takes to kill them, at intervals of 6-8 months depending on their antibody levels.

Source: the Civil Society Partners for Global Solidarity against COVID-19

---

This graph has terrifying implications for America shown at the bottom with 4,587,476 Active Cases. Meaning they are actively sick right now. Some 2.1% will die.  In the next month, at 100,000 cases per day, the additional severe cases are going to swamp American hospitals, say the experts.

Click the graph image below to enlarge and read.

“America. Are you ready to follow doctors’ orders and stay home and stay safe or do you still want to play on the tracks in the path of a speeding locomotive?” quips Mr. Harris by way of a summary of the evidence.

---

There are other factors. Many more will die before Christmas above this 96,337; about another 25,000 before Christmas of the 150,000 who will die from new infections occurring between now and Christmas,  a kind of Grand Slam for the SARS2 virus derived from America’s likely epic failure-to-mitigate over Thanksgiving.

Plus, 0.75% of the infections that occurred in the past four weeks will still be passing in the time before Christmas (the statistically doomed who did not die yet).

“Not everyone is good at math,” advises nurse Deslauriers,  “so don’t worry, just do something to protect your family, dear American friends, stay home,” she urges.

“These data projections are based on statistical evidence and the formulae that have been derived from the USA experience with COVID-19 in 2020,” says Harris.

One of the additional facts that needs to be considered is that the United States under reports its data, particularly deaths. That is not to imply a deliberate deception. It happens for many understood reasons.

In reality the COVID-19 deaths from today’s infections that occur before Christmas will be greater than 123,500. Biostatisticians have been able to verify their calculations against the known numbers of excess deaths that occur in any given period.

Statisticians are studying several different sets of numbers. They are all important. Active cases are important because it is the basis for predicting to some extent the amount of critical care and general care resources may be needed. Knowing this requires good statistical data on known cases and confirmed recoveries (two consecutive negative tests).

This is likely boring. There are many millions more cases that are not reported, of which there are a large number of deaths. So far depending on the state, that number is 1.2x to 1.31x where x = reported deaths right now and it will change as time goes by and more infections occur. Eventually those changes will yield the true Infection Fatality Rate (IFR)

 The Civil Society Partners for Global Solidarity against COVID-19 out of Singapore have been watching the United States since the beginning of the pandemic in late 2019.

American scientific experts like Dr. Robert Redfield and Dr. Tony Fauci offer this guidance:

• “Stay home until 14 days after the last exposure to anyone who may have been infected with the SARS-CoV-2 and maintain social distance (at least 6 feet (2 meters)) from others at all times.
• “Self-monitor for symptoms.
• “Avoid contact with people at higher risk for severe illness from COVID-19.
• “Follow CDC guidance if symptoms develop.
• “Please study the data here at the Center For Diseases Control and follow the Public Health guidelines as if it is a religion to save your life.
• “If you have any questions, go here.”

 

January 22, 2022

U.S.A. (pop. 332,433,842)

• CoV19 Reported Cases: 70,745,030
• Current Reported Deaths:(CFR: 1.26%): 881,420 Estimated actual: 969,101
• Cured: 44,111,071
• Beta experimental: All time reported + unreported asymptomatic people maybe not sick, not immune, but possibly infectious and including the many people who have had several mild or asymptomatic infections: 358,926,462.36
• 107.97% of the USA may have been infected or even reinfected including reported + estimated unreported mild and estimated asymptomatic (358,926,462.36) persons, some of whom may not have been ill in their first course of the disease, but could have spread the disease.
• 1.26% is USA current Case Fatality Rate (CFR) &
• 0.27% is estimated inferred average Infection Fatality Rate (IFR)
• 969,101 estimated total COVID-19 deaths including unreported likely-cause excess deaths. According to projections of IHME, IHME calculation of excess deaths is higher than what CSPaC is estimating.

Rest of the world excluding USA.

• CoV19 Cases: 275,213,584
• Deaths: 4,737,801 | 1.62%
• Cured: 236,388,938
• Reported + estimated all unreported 1,774,767,689

Note: Total statistics for the United States do not include these offshore territories. The US Military is included as if it is an offshore territory, not reported as continental USA data but as USA overall totals and included in world totals. FPMag evaluates these separately for many reasons.

Territory	Cases	Deaths	Recovered
Continental US	69,966,172	881,420 | 1.26%	43,519,810
+US Military	490,202	660 | 0.1%	422,164
+Guam	25,757	276 | 1.1%	19,496
+Puerto Rico	244,619	3,593 | 1.47%	186,926
+US Virgin Islands	14,158	94 | 0.7%	12,608
+Northern Mariana Islands	4,118	21 | 0.5%	3,648
+American Samoa	4	0 | %	4
Totals	70,745,030	886,064	44,111,071

---

The American Epicenter including ALL Territories has 43.03 % of global 'active' cases (25,747,895 USA (incl territories) / 59,839,384 Global), people infected with COVID-19 now.

Abundant proof that vaccines are working, an observation derived from unrelated data analysis.

As the epicenter we look at continental USA together with US territories and without. The declining CFR in the continental United States is believed to be due to vaccination rates and is abundant proof that the vaccines are working.

In order to avoid letting countries that refuse to report the sum of case recoveries, thus skewing global calculations, Ecuador, France, Netherlands, Peru, Puerto Rico, Spain and Sweden 'recoveries' are estimated based on the current reported global recoveries as a percentage of all cases. (([reported recoveries]) divide (345,958,614 [Global Reported Sum of All Cases] less 15,583,169 [France Sum of Cases] less 629,507 [Ecuador Sum of Cases] less 8,975,458 [Spain Sum of Cases] less 3,778,287 [Netherlands Sum of Cases] less 1,784,005 [Sweden Sum of Cases] less 2,780,049 [Peru Sum of Cases])) = 81% a coefficient which is then adjusted according to the number of cases in the past 30 days and the new coefficient is applied to the sum of each of these nation's cumulative cases to estimate the missing recoveries data. In the case of France some additional hospital-sourced recovery data is factored.

Reported:
All USA	Sum of Cases	Deaths	Recovered	Active
Continental USA	69,966,172	881,420	43,519,810	25,564,942
USA+territories	70,745,030	886,064	44,111,071	25,747,895
Estimated:
USA+territories	358,926,462.36	969,101	226,289,794	131,656,529

See also IHME Estimates for America.

January 22, 2022

COVID-19 Leadership Comparisons

• U.S.A.: Joseph Biden

• 70,745,030 Cases
• 886,064 reported out of 969,101 Excess Deaths
• 44,111,071 Recoveries

• India: Narendra Modi

• 38,901,485 Cases
• 488,911 Reported Deaths
• 36,290,709 Recoveries

• Brazil: Jair Bolsonaro

• 23,751,782 Cases
• 622,563 Reported Deaths
• 21,851,922 Recoveries

• UK: Boris Johnson

• 15,709,059 Cases
• 153,490 Reported Deaths
• 11,957,439 Recoveries

--- --- --- Compare --- --- ---

• Germany: Olaf Scholz

• 8,535,962 Cases
• 117,219 Deaths
• 7,178,000 Recoveries

• Netherlands: Mark Rutte

• 3,778,287 Cases
• 21,200 Deaths
• 2,784,725 Recoveries

• Canada: Justin Trudeau

• 2,891,410 Cases
• 32,376 Deaths
• 2,565,901 Recoveries

• China: Xi Jinping

• 105,484 Cases
• 4,636 Deaths
• 97,675 Recoveries

• South Korea: Moon Jae-In

• 719,269 Cases
• 6,501 Deaths
• 594,023 Recoveries

• New Zealand: Jacinda Ardern

• 15,401 Cases
• 52 Deaths
• 14,300 Recoveries

• Taiwan: Tsai Ing-wen

• 18,109 Cases
• 851 Deaths
• 16,199 Recoveries

A Reckless USA President Super Spreader

White House Afflicted since 26 Sept. 2020

1 Unidentified Campaign Staff	Trump Campaign
1 Unidentified Military	Driver Assigned to the US President
11 unidentified persons	Debate preparation staff or media
136 Secret Service Officers	Security details on Trump Campaign rallies.
2 unidentified Pence Staffers	Exposed to Marty Obst
2 unidentified Staffers	White House residence staff
Admiral Charles Ray	Vice Commandant of the Coast Guard
Al Drago	Press Room Photographer/Journalist
Andrew Giuliani	White House aide, Rudy's son
Barron Trump(14)	Son of Mr. and Mrs. Melania Trump
Ben Carson	United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development
Bill Stepien(42)	Trump campaign manager, former White House Director of Political Affairs
Boris Epshteyn	2020 Trump campaign strategic advisor for coalitions
Brian Jack	White House Director of Political Affairs and Assistant to the President
Chad Gilmartin	White House Press Room Staff
Charlton Boyd	aide to Jared Kushner
Chris Christie(58) H	FormerGovernor of New Jersey
Chuck Grassley	US Senator
Claudia Conway(15)	Daughter of Kellyanne Conway
Corey Lewandowski	2016 Trump campaign manager
Crede Bailey	Head of White House Security Office
David Bernhardt	Interior Secretary
David Bossie	Head of Citizens United; appointed by Trump to lead election challenge effort
Devin Nunes	US Representative from California
Donald Trump Junior	Son of 45th President of the United States
Donald Trump(74) H	45th President of the United States
Gen. Gary Thomas	Marine Corps assistant commandant
Greg Laurie(68)	Senior pastor of Harvest Christian Fellowship
Healy Baumgardner	2016 Trump campaign spokesperson and energy lobbyist
Hope Hicks(31)	Senior Counselor to the President
Jalen Drummond (31)	Assistant White House Press Secretary
Jayna McCarron (35)	(Lt. Cmdr.) US Coast Guard Aide to the President
Jeff Miller	Republican strategist and lobbyist
Jenna Ellis	Trump Campaign attorney
John I. Jenkins(65)	President of Notre Dame University
Karoline Leavitt	Assistant Press Secretary
Kayleigh McEnany (32)	White House press secretary
Kelly Loeffler	US Senator
Kellyanne Conway(53)	Former Counselor to the President
Liz and Dick Uihlein	Donors and founder of Uline
Marc Short(50)	Chief of Staff to M. Pence
Mark Meadows	White House Chief of Staff
Marty Obst(50)	Advisor to M. Pence
Matt Gaetz	Congressman from Florida
Melania Trump(50)	First Lady of the United States
Michael D. Shear & Wife	White House correspondent for The New York Times
Mike Bost(59)	US Representative from IL-12 exposed to Mike Lee (below)
Mike Lee (49)	United States Senator from Utah
Multiple unidentified staffers	White House staffers
Nicholas Luna (34)	Body man to Donald Trump
Nick Trainor	Trump Campaign Battleground States Director
Richard Walters	Chief of staff of the Republican National Committee
Rick Scott	US Senator, former Governor of Florida
Ron Johnson (65)	Senator from Wisconsin
Ronna McDaniel(47)	Chair of the Republican National Committee
Rudy Giuliani	Trump personal lawyer
Salud Carbajal (55) (D)	United States Representative from CA-24 (exposed to Mike Lee)
Stephen Miller (35)	Senior Advisor to the President
Thom Tillis (60)	United States Senator from North Carolina
Trish Scalia	Wife of Labor Secretary Eugene Scalia
Two unidentified journalists	White House press room journalists
unknown number of White House staffers	Attendees at Trump's Election Night party on 3 Nov.
Zach Bauer	Body Man to M. Pence