Civil Society Alarm for Canada. Voluntarily Lockdown now
“Without drastic action now, SARS2 infections in Canada will go to 500K by January running at 20K daily. A hard voluntary lockdown to year’s end; cancelling Christmas; and strong adherence to Public Health Canada guidelines can produce a COVID-Slamming outcome. Do it,” says Canadian biostatistician expert.
If in the worst case scenario, Canadians do not stop this, 70% of the country will become infected over time and incomprehensibly massive deaths will result.
Here is Canada’s best case scenario if a lockdown is implemented immediately through the end of the year, in three, large, key regions. Others may also be needed, determined locally if situations change.
FPMag has seen the alternative models from the Civil Society Partners for Global Solidarity against COVID-19 in Singapore, but that fiasco will not occur as already Ontario is taking appropriate action and hopefully Albertans and Quebecers will take this seriously as well.
Canadians must implement 100% of all Canada Public Health guidelines. Wearing a mask, social distancing, maintaining hand hygiene, staying home, and in fact adopt all of the measures set out by Health Canada is what you need.
by Micheal John
Tracking every country in the world since December 2019, the civil society solidarity partners are clinicians, hands-on practitioners, from around the world. This group has raised an alarm again for Canada. The last alarm was ignored and the surge since August is now exacerbated.
“What Canadians are doing now does not work,” says biostatistician Fred Harris, who heads the civil society tracking team.
“This is not about government, this is about Canadians’ behaviour. Turn off the American TV and turn off CTV and CBC which seem almost to cover the psychopath, quasi-fascist Donald Trump more than they seem to cover their own Prime Minister,” says Sandra Chu, a Canadian from Manitoba working on Mr. Harris’s team. “Listen to science,” she added.
“America is killing Canada, because Canadians are listening to the wack-job in the White House. America is in deep trouble and Canada is following down her path,” notes Harris.
“If you live in Weyburn or Estevan Saskatchewan and the only TV you get is coming from the USA; same with radio; same with newspapers and books; are you really a Canadian? Turn to Ottawa now. Close the borders for real. Mask up, stay home and enjoy living. The alternatives are extremely grim for the people of Southern Saskatchewan and most of the under 25,000 towns and villages across the country far from a hospital with a COVID-19 ICU. Many of those Canadians will die from a SARS2 infection. Do not take that risk.”
Civil Society Partners for Global Solidarity against COVID-19 have graphed a positive outlook if Canada locks down in three regions.
But biostatisticians say if Canadians ignore the warnings this time, this could go to a national fail and 70% population infected with massive deaths “because of the distances that separate us from each other and our hospitals”.
Canadian PM: “A Normal Christmas is Out of the Question.”
This is what Canadians have been doing since the first major warning from the medical statisticians.
“Hey, half of us are Canadians. We care, and when we see what we have been tracking we wish we could come home. We can’t. The world is shut down. But we share what we know,” says Mr. Harris to Sharon Santiago on Zoom from Singapore to Manila at the South Pacific Regional office of FPMag.
The current daily active cases and cumulative deaths in Canada.
Canada’s infection trend is a disaster path. Stop listening to Trump and wear a Mask.
The following data will update several times a day. January 26, 2022
Population: 38,585,269 adjusted for estimated real COVID-19 deaths
|Reported:||2,959,499||32,860 1.11% CFR||2,699,170||227,469|
|Estimate:||15,182,230||53,036 *0.35% IFR||13,846,742||1,166,916|
*Inferred IFR is an estimate only. The actual COVID-19 IFR may not be accurately calculated for the entire human race until long after the pandemic has ended.
The IHME estimates excess deaths in Canada to reach much higher than CSPaC estimates.
Note: Above is region/county Health Unit reports. First Nations data is monitored uniquely but included in provincial totals.
Below: Extensive Estimates using data from multiple sources.
Beta experimental estimates for Canada. Reported + unreported mild + asymptomatic COVID-19 infections.
The total actual number of infections in Canada including all the untested, unreported, asymptomatic infections is likely greater than 15,182,230
(39.35% of the population) including mild and asymptomatic cases.
That would mean the estimated inferred average Infection Fatality Rate:
(IFR) is likely around 0.35%
Canadian COVID-19 deaths to 2022-01-26 are estimated to be 53,138 Using estimated IFR of 0.35% which is far below global average IFR.
53,138 (0.35% IFR) is the estimated number of Canadian COVID-19 deaths (based on the inferred IFR) including those deaths unreported as COVID-19). The IHME estimates excess deaths in Canada to reach much higher than CSPaC estimates.
53036 Is the estimated number of Canadian COVID-19 deaths based on a modified universal algorithm which factors more sophisticated public health infrastructure and also fewer available urgent care beds and facilities which is a problem in much of Canada in an emergency measures context.
The closeness of the two numbers derived from unique data and methods suggests their high probability. The blended data of three projections from three different biostatistician labs also confirms the estimates +/- .01%.
It is safe to say that Canadians have endured the grief of losing 53036 family members. Every number has a face. May their memory be forever a blessing to their families and friends.
Canada's advanced public health standards.
Ontario, Canada Reports
Ontario Regional Public Health Units (PHU) - Reported by Ontario Province.
These reports from the Ontario Province differ significantly from the data reported by individual Public Health Units. CSPaC includes links to each PHU to allow readers of this report to check the latest data from their public health unit. CSPaC has heard the explanation from the province that data is reassigned from one PHU to another based on patient location. That means that patients are taken to the nearest available hospital and not necessarily to a medical facility in their own Public Health Region.
|Haliburton Kawartha Pine Ridge||5,787||75||1.3%||4,990||722|
|Hastings & Prince Edward Counties||5,479||31||0.6%||4,832||616|
|Kingston Frontenac Lennox & Addington||8,355||31||0.4%||7,855||469|
|Leeds Grenville And Lanark District||5,313||73||1.4%||4,674||566|
|North Bay Parry Sound District||2,603||11||0.4%||2,363||229|
|Renfrew County And District||2,612||20||0.8%||2,280||312|
|Simcoe Muskoka District||30,592||321||1.0%||28,011||2,260|
|Sudbury And District||8,552||78||0.9%||7,139||1,335|
|Thunder Bay District||6,297||74||1.2%||5,398||825|