COVID-19 Hospitalizations in Canada above 4-yr. average. This is bad but there is worse news.

December 2023 data shows an average of 4,676 Canadian hospital beds are occupied by patients suffering COVID19 infection. 9%-17% Will die or be readmitted to hospital according to numerous studies.

That factor is about to change as the bacterial pneumonia epidemic in North America grows and respiratory co-infection such as a secondary mycoplasma pneumoniae bacterial infection in patients already with COVID-19 increases. Bacterial infections may enhance  death rates from the viral COVID-19 illness.

In recent weeks, surges in mycoplasma pneumoniae bacterial infection cases in young children and the elderly in USA, China, Denmark, France, and the Netherlands have raised some alarm but alone, the illness is known as ‘walking pneumonia’ and most people survive.

By applying machine learning to medical record data, scientists at Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine in the USA have found that secondary bacterial pneumonia that does not resolve was a key driver of death in patients with COVID-19, results published in the Journal of Clinical Investigation.

This is worrisome for Canada. Canadians need to mask up, wearing proper respirator face masks. Another factor is the fatalistic rate of 15% vaccination upkeep. Canadians need to get boosted because too many Canadians are hospitalized and far too many are still dying from COVID-19.

The average daily hospitalizations in Canada since counts began in April 2020, is 3,268. December’s average hospitalizations: 4,676.

Yes, this is bad. The good news is that less than half as many hospitalized patients will die now, than in April 2020. Back then, as many as 38% of hospitalized patients died in the first wave according to a U.S. National Institute of Health study..

The studies.

Following the 6th wave and after examining 843,737 Canadian COVID-19 patient records, researchers at the University of Alberta found death or readmission to be quite common.

One-in-nine discharged patients died or, were readmitted within 30 days after discharge. This applied to both Alberta and Ontario according to the researchers’ comparative studies.

Actual global deaths from COVID-19 are 2.7 times higher or more than the reported 6,981,081 at publication time. In Canada, excess deaths from COVID-19 are pegged at 73,823 and reported deaths are at 56,787 with a very low Case Fatality Rate of 1.2%.

Globally, during the pandemic so far, 18,841,588 (12/29/2023) certain excess deaths are attributable to COVID-19.

Estimates suggest that hundreds of millions of people are now suffering from what has been termed as Long COVID-19, around the world.

This number (18,841,588) is a modest calculation with 95% certainty according to Dr. Kathy Poon of in Singapore. She notes that the calculation is based on many factors including the statistical record of each country within the pandemic time frame and the number of known unattributed deaths.

“For certain the deaths occurred and with 95% certainty they were caused by COVID-19 illness,” Dr. Poon said.

27 million excess deaths caused by COVID-19 is an estimate that compensates for lack of completeness in rates of birth and death registrations among one third of all nations which record less than 50% or even under 10% of all deaths.

Some other agency’s estimates peg the number of global excess deaths caused by COVID-19 at over 27 million. Why? In many low- and middle-income countries, undercounting of mortality is a significant problem.

The UN estimates that ordinarily only two-thirds of countries register at least 90% of all deaths that occur, and some countries register less than 50% or even under 10% of deaths.

During the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic the actual coverage might be even lower, and the true number of excess deaths caused by COVID-19 much higher than either of the foregoing data, but there is no proof of that being true because the deaths are not counted and there may not be any census data from the past to compare against new census data if it ever becomes available.

Some adventurous estimates of global excess deaths from COVID-19 are so high, they challenge the claim that Earth’s human population has reached 8 billion.

USA Study Adjusted mortality risk over time, Ontario and Quebec.

“Mortality trends and length of stays among hospitalized patients with COVID-19 in Ontario and Québec (Canada): a population-based cohort study of the first three epidemic waves.”

Within an extremely significant study of COVID-19 mortality risk in Ontario and Quebec hospitals, it was concluded that after adjusting for age, living environment, hospital-acquired infection status, direct ICU admission, VOC and vaccination status, and time-varying quintiles of hospital patient load, the estimated temporal trend in mortality risk was similar to the non-adjusted ones in both provinces (see graph image). Despite this, Québec exhibited a more pronounced decrease in the estimated mortality risk at the beginning of the epidemic: from 37.1% (95% CI: 27.7%–45.8%) to 15.2% (95% CI: 13.2%–17.4%). In Ontario, the estimated decline for the same period was from 24.7% (95% CI: 18.7%–31.6%) to 13.5% (95% CI: 11.3%–16.0%). The adjusted highest mortality risks during the second wave were comparable in Ontario (18.9%; 95% CI: 18.0%–19.8%) and in Québec (18.2%; 95% CI: 17.3%–19.0%) but the decline in the third wave was more pronounced in Ontario.

SARS2 Update 2024-02-29 05:01 GMT

  • 255 Regions reported 703,620,255 cases
  • 179,830,662 cases active
  • 7,007,434 people reported killed by COVID-19
  • 1.12% is current Case Fatality Rate (CFR)
  • 516,782,159 survived COVID-19

Beta Technology Global Estimates

EPICENTER: USA (109,342,917)

  • 178.18% of the USA may have been infected or even reinfected including reported + estimated unreported mild and estimated asymptomatic (604,666,331.01) human infections, some of which may not have been ill in their first course of the disease, but could have spread the disease.
  • 1.09% is USA current Case Fatality Rate (CFR) &
  • 0.25% is estimated inferred average Infection Fatality Rate (IFR)
  • 1,511,666 estimated total COVID-19 deaths including unreported likely-cause excess deaths. According to projections of IHME, IHME calculation of excess deaths is slightly higher than what CSPaD is showing.

Canada COVID-19 Hospitalizations are at a 5-year median level

29 Feb 2024 COVID-19 Data for Canada from CSPaD

Population: 40,494,834 adjusted for estimated real COVID-19 deaths

Reported:4,933,31158,475 1.2% CFR4,858,96115,875
Estimate:27,281,21076,017 *0.28% IFR26,870,05487,789

*Inferred IFR is an estimate only. The actual COVID-19 IFR may not be accurately calculated for the entire human race until long after the pandemic has ended.

Below: Extensive Estimates using data from multiple sources.

Beta experimental estimates for Canada. Reported + unreported mild + asymptomatic COVID-19 infections.

The total actual number of infections in Canada including all the untested, unreported, asymptomatic infections is likely greater than 27,281,210 (67.37% of the population) including mild and asymptomatic cases. That would mean the estimated inferred average Infection Fatality Rate: (IFR) is likely around 0.28%

Canadian COVID-19 deaths to 2024-02-28 are estimated to be 76,387 Using estimated IFR of 0.28%. Global average 0.49% Global estimated inferred average Infection Fatality Rate (IFR

76,387 (0.28% IFR) is the CSPaC estimated number of Canadian COVID-19 deaths (based on the inferred IFR) including those deaths unreported as COVID-19). The IHME estimates excess deaths in Canada to reach much higher than CSPaC estimates.

See The Lancet estimate of excess mortality from COVID-19 (Download PDF) in 191 countries/territories and 252 subnational units of select countries, from 1 January 2 0 2 0, to 31 December 2 0 2 1.

76017 Is the CSPaC estimated number of Canadian COVID-19 deaths based on a modified universal algorithm which factors more sophisticated public health infrastructure and also fewer available urgent care beds and facilities which is a problem in much of Canada in an emergency measures context.

The closeness of the two numbers derived from unique data and methods suggests their high probability. The blended data of three projections from three different biostatistician labs also confirms the estimates +/- .01%.

It is safe to say that Canadians have endured the grief of losing 76017 family members. Every number has a face. May their memory be forever a blessing to their families and friends.

Canada's advanced public health standards.

Canada and the USA have Infection Fatality Rates close to global averages but since vaccine booster-rates have dropped, CFR in both countrioes is climbing slightly above global averages. (influenza has an IFR of .1% or 6 per 100k (2019)).

Ontario, Canada Reports no longer updated. See Archives to 5 March 2023

Note about the origin of SARS-CoV-2 Virus that causes COVID-19

Among the younger RINJ Women trainees and workers studying as part of a specialized project inside ASEAN, in 2018 and 2019, there were several sponsored teams doing field work as well as internships that studied infectious diseases spread by gender-based violence including rape, such as hepatitis and human immunodeficiency viruses (HIV).

Young trainee women ranging in age from 17 to 21 noticed in 2019 an increase in hushed requests for sexually transmitted disease treatment from males working in the illegal regime of capturing live, rare or protected and forbidden-as-food animals.

But these males were typically testing negative for typical STDs. Some boys/teens developed severe pneumonia that did not respond to any treatment and some even died. It was assumed the cases were virus infections.  In every case, the young men were involved in one aspect or another of either catching, selling or transporting either bats or pangolins.

Doctors consulted by teams in Thailand, Laos and Cambodia during the summer of 2019 said they believed the disease the workers experienced was SARS1 and thus the same zoonotic coronavirus that hit Toronto in 2003 as the SARS-CoV-1, the first severe acute respiratory syndrome virus outbreak. But not all symptoms were identical to those of the 89 Toronto patients who died.

In the SARS outbreak of 2003, about 9% of patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-1 infection died. The mortality rate was much higher for those over 60 years old, with mortality rates approaching 50% for this subset of patients. Among the rare-food-animal trade workers in the ASEAN mainland, only a small percentage seemed to be fatal among the teenaged to early twenties male group.

None of these workers were in contact with persons from China but a small few, sellers, were in contact with buyers from China who supplied the live animals they were buying from the kids for what are known as ‘wet markets”, like the big one in Wuhan.

At the same time an outbreak of what is now known as SARS2 began in Wuhan,  it also began in three other cities of Hubei province according to Nurse Sara Qin who worked in a hospital in Wuhan and is a graduate of the university in Wuhan, the same one associated with the Wuhan Laboratory so often discussed by conspiracy theorists.

Throughout this time from 2018 through 2019, in caves near the Canadian border in some western USA states, just as was discovered in the ASEAN  countries around the same time, bats were showing symptoms of sickness which manifested as a froth around their mouths basically a manifestation of snot from their noses caused by a pathogen or parasite. Apparently some of their virus load which bats typically control well, were looking for alternative species in the increasingly known pattern of zoonotics.

Putting it all together, SARS-CoV-2 is a zoonotic disease like MERS and SARS1. Whereas it may be true that people all over Asia are catching wild animals to sell to wealthy Americans attending special secret dinners, it is a multi-billion US dollar industry in at least five different countries outside China, has learned from the workers and from law enforcement agency reports..

It is very difficult to understand why the USA is seeking a blame-game against China when its own people, including the outstanding American hero, Anthony Fauci, were showing interest and having a history of funding the research of a number of Asian university laboratories seeking prevention and treatment of zoonotic diseases.

Concomitantly, the same kind of research has been done in Ukraine labs and dozens of American labs and received the same kind of conspiracy nonsense-theories as did the Wuhan lab which has been in service for a great many years and provided a wealth of useful medical data for medical researchers who provide benefit to mankind.

In a conversation with two highly experienced medical directors of The RINJ Foundation, both said outright, ‘we don’t have any wild opinions on the origins of coronavirus-based diseases. They are zoonotic pathogens jumping from ill-fated species to other species including humans and we expect to see many more of many types as mankind’s bad behaviour destroys the habitats of more species and they shed their pathogens to other species or take them with their kind to the grave…”, a somewhat worrisome prognosis for the human race.