Not out of the woods of COVID-19 but the path is better



“The impact of COVID-19 is reaching extraordinarily low levels, with the daily death toll returning to levels we last saw two years ago around March 20, 2020,” reports the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) and the Civil Society Partners against COVID-19 (CSPAC) 

 

Video: IHME director Dr. Christopher Murray shares latest insights on COVID-19.

Takeaways from IHME  early June study & Dr. Murray’s notes.

  1. Global death toll declining. We are now seeing a daily death rate last seen in March 2020.
  2. China: Zero-COVID strategy continues to prevent major death surges, despite economic consequences.
  3. Europe & South Africa: BA.2 and BA.4-5 surges have peaked and are now declining.
  4. United States: Cases are declining at the national level, despite some continued surges at the state level.
  5. IHME Policy recommendation: Monitor for new variants and be prepared to respond if a new, more dangerous variant should emerge.

Above graph courtesy CSPAC.net. Global COVID-19 Cumulative Case Sums  Report Updated: 2022-06-07 Time 18:57:54 GMT for the period from 1/22/2020 to 6/6/2022


June 28, 2022 COVID-19 Data for The Entire World from CSPaC

SARS2 Update 2022-06-28 09:24 GMT

  • 254 Regions reported 549,431,278 cases
  • 16,200,717 cases active
  • 6,372,008 people reported killed by COVID-19
  • 1.16% is current Case Fatality Rate (CFR)
  • 526,858,553 survived COVID-19

Beta Technology Global Estimates

EPICENTER: USA (87,394,044)

  • 145.22% of the USA may have been infected or even reinfected including reported + estimated unreported mild and estimated asymptomatic (483,289,063.32) human infections, some of which may not have been ill in their first course of the disease, but could have spread the disease.
  • 1.18% is USA current Case Fatality Rate (CFR) &
  • 0.27% is estimated inferred average Infection Fatality Rate (IFR)
  • 1,304,880 estimated total COVID-19 deaths including unreported likely-cause excess deaths. According to projections of IHME, IHME calculation of excess deaths is slightly higher than what CSPaC is showing.

Above data source: Civil Society Partners against COVID-19


Above graph courtesy CSPAC.netCOVID-19 Deaths Report Updated: 2022-06-07 Time 18:57:54 GMT for the period from 1/22/2020 to 6/6/2022


“CSPAC  has been warning since early spring that Canada has entered a new wave of COVID-19 infections with a high number of hospitalizations, but it seems this surge is drawing to a close, slowly. Hospitalizations over 4,000 are still far too high and far ahead of 2020 and most of 2021. Despite plummeting community spread, there is however a concern that the numbers may climb again unless better mitigation efforts are undertaken by the population when in close contact with one another during the Canadian summer gatherings,” explains Dr. Harris, team lead for the CSPaC.

“Regional outbreaks in Canada as are occurring in the United States now, are expected in the coming months, in Canada,” Dr. Harris added.

“Canadian hospitalizations are an example of how much trouble the dominant strain of SARS-CoV-2  (Omicron) can cause, putting over 4000 Canadians in hospital now,” notes Dr. Harris. That number is dropping but still much higher than the benchmark date chosen for this article (20 March 2020),” said Dr. Harris. Graph Source CSPaC.