Data says the worst COVID-19 prediction is true. Part 1.

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“A long, slow, steady, relentless climb in infections and deaths of the unvaccinated continues,” is one of the findings of a weekend civil society conference on the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.

Ending Monday, hosted from CSPaC in Singapore, a weekend civil society conference on the COVID-19 pandemic to evaluate the continued role of Civil Society in the Global SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, differentiated between larger developed nations versus larger developing nations, noting that the infection and outcome patterns exhibited in the very small countries had too wide a scope of cause, to narrow down explicitly.

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by Melissa Hemingway

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“There are some fundamental catastrophic issues we believe are trending,” explained Kathy Poon, a biostatistician and medical researcher, who coordinated the discussion panels.

Biostatisticians and civil society field workers from the conference report:

• “Cause and effect ratios between the vaccine-hording of rich nations and the vaccine-deprivation of poor nations have a dire consequence for the not-by-choice under-vaccinated populations in developing nations where there are not enough graves or body bags,” says an insider memo to the virtual conference attendees.
• Vaccine nationalism is having a greater impact on poorer nations in Africa and Southeast Asia than expected;
• Despite the efforts of Russia and China trying to carry the vaccine distribution load almost alone, the World Health Organizations plans to vaccinate the peoples of all nations equally, the WHO plan is collapsed; and
• As the conference came to a close, it was revealed that Great Britain, Canada and the United States, have been quietly vaccine-hording, as has been accused by the WHO, and have already put millions of COVID-19 vaccine doses into the trash because they expired.

As whole populations discard their masks and jam up the sewers and the oceans with non-biodegradable trash, the claim they make is that the pandemic is over and “We are opening up“.

“But nothing about the data says anything like that. The countries which are telling the truth about what is happening say their hospitals cannot keep up,” says Dr. Nassima al Amouri who gave a lecture during the conference.

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“Millions of discarded single-use plastics (masks, gloves, aprons, and bottles of sanitizers) have been added to the terrestrial environment and could cause a surge in plastics washing up the ocean coastlines and littering the seabed,” writes doctors Nsikak U. Benson, David E. Bassey and Thavamani Palanisami.

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The weekend’s civil society conference heard from The Nurses Without Borders that there are about seven million too few nurses working today around the world, partly because many nurses have been compelled to stay home and provide child care during the lockdowns of billions of people around the world. The remaining health care workers, mostly women because 72% of health care workers are women, said the civil society nursing group, and they are exhausted, over-stressed and suffering PTSD.

 

This has been validated: “It is safe to say that people who are unvaccinated are going to die from COVID-19 eventually,” says expert.

“This was a prediction of Dr. Fredrick Harris of CSPaC, our team leader here in Singapore,  who said in the spring, ‘It is safe to say that people who are unvaccinated are going to die from COVID-19 eventually. That’s the best way I have of explaining the data,’ is what he said then,” explained Ms. Poon.

“He said that about five months ago after we reached some conclusions. That statement has been so sensitive among anti-vaccine rabble rousers that we have three scientists studying the data very closely ever since. This is among the worst scenarios forecasted by anyone during this pandemic, and it is a valid hypothesis. The data in the past six months proves this to be true,” she explained.

“We had used developed nations like Canada, as examples. It’s like this. If a country with a very good health care system cannot keep the death rate of the unvaccinated patients, down low, nobody can.”

“Then in the United States, some staggering realities begun to show. It is almost safe to say that every person in the USA has been infected largely, mildly, or asymptomatically, with the SARS-CoV-2 virus.”

USA COVID-19 Infections (pop. 332,914,415 with 47,472,112 reported cases and over 48 Million including territories and USA  Armed Forces.)

• 14,386 tested and confirmed infections per 100,000 people and 233 reported deaths per 100,000 people.
• CoV19 Reported Cases: 48,039,300
• Current Reported Deaths:(CFR: 1.644%): 780,580 Estimated actual: 884,021
• Cured: 38,050,509
• Beta experimental: All time reported + unreported asymptomatic people maybe not sick, not immune, but possibly infectious and including the many people who have had several mild or asymptomatic infections: 243,531,934.56
• 73.152% of the USA may have been infected or even reinfected including reported + estimated unreported mild and estimated asymptomatic (243,531,934.56) persons, some of whom may not have been ill in the first course of the disease, but could have spread the disease.

Below: Nations with highest number of cumulative  COVID-19 Cases

Click any image to enlarge and read.

Below: Nations with highest COVID-19 Case Fatality Rates, that is the percentage of reported total confirmed patients who die from COVID-19.

Below: The watchlist of countries having over one million cumulative cases.

SARS2 Update 2022-01-20 01:29 GMT

• 253 Regions reported 339,032,536 cases
• 56,778,318 cases active
• 5,601,226 people reported killed by COVID-19
• 1.65% is current Case Fatality Rate (CFR)
• 276,652,992 survived COVID-19

• 22.09% of all humans (1,739,236,909) have been infected
• 0.74% Global estimated inferred average Infection Fatality Rate (IFR)
  (influenza is .1% or 6 per 100k (2019))
• 12,820,926 Total deaths (estimated actual) including errors, and unreported likely-cause excess deaths such as people who never went to a hospital but had COVID-19 indications but never tested.

EPICENTER: USA (68,720,152)

• 106.05% of the USA may have been infected or even reinfected including reported + estimated unreported mild and estimated asymptomatic (352,534,379.76) persons, some of whom may not have been ill in their first course of the disease, but could have spread the disease.
• 1.27% is USA current Case Fatality Rate (CFR) &
• 0.28% is estimated inferred average Infection Fatality Rate (IFR)
• 987,096 estimated total COVID-19 deaths including unreported likely-cause excess deaths. According to projections of IHME, IHME calculation of excess deaths is higher than what CSPaC is showing.

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Below: Cases and Deaths per 100,000 population. Ranking by total reported cases yesterday.

Source CSPaC

Locales ordered by number of cases	Cases/100k population	Deaths/100k population
United States	14,386	233
India	2,521	34
Brazil	10,406	290
United Kingdom	14,364	214
Russia	6,203	174
Turkey	10,109	88
France	10,601	173
Iran	7,291	155
Argentina	11,810	259
Germany	6,098	118
Spain	10,742	186
Colombia	10,001	254
Italy	8,069	220
Indonesia	1,571	53
Mexico	3,014	228
Ukraine	7,618	185
Poland	8,464	208
South Africa	4,997	153
Philippines	2,607	42
Malaysia	7,986	93
Netherlands	13,352	108
Peru	6,814	617
Iraq	5,266	60
Thailand	2,908	29
Czech Republic	17,771	296
Canada	4,684	78
Romania	9,012	275
Chile	9,174	201
Japan	1,366	15
Bangladesh	965	17
Belgium	12,928	229
Israel	14,777	90
Pakistan	591	13
Serbia	17,490	157
Sweden	11,497	147
Portugal	10,794	178
Kazakhstan	5,610	95
Vietnam	1,073	24
Austria	10,944	132
Hungary	9,835	329
Cuba	8,462	73
Morocco	2,600	40
Switzerland	10,714	132
Jordan	8,865	111
Greece	7,828	157
Nepal	2,857	40
Georgia	21,124	297
United Arab Emirates	7,584	22
Tunisia	6,120	216
Bulgaria	9,445	381
Lebanon	9,524	125
Belarus	6,647	51
Guatemala	3,674	95
Costa Rica	11,187	143
Slovakia	10,331	249
Azerbaijan	5,606	75
Sri Lanka	2,533	64
Saudi Arabia	1,603	26
Croatia	13,273	244
Bolivia	4,547	165
Ecuador	3,003	190
Myanmar	951	35
Ireland	10,087	113
Panama	11,177	173
Paraguay	6,558	232
West Bank + Gaza	9,757	101
Lithuania	15,938	228
Denmark	7,338	48
Venezuela	1,472	18
Kuwait	9,818	59
South Korea	773	6
Dominican Republic	3,697	39
Uruguay	11,459	176
Slovenia	18,198	237
Honduras	3,869	106
Mongolia	11,576	59
Ethiopia	329	6
Libya	5,389	78
Moldova	13,312	322
Egypt	344	19
Armenia	11,135	239
Oman	6,119	83
Bahrain	16,893	85
Bosnia–Herzegovina	8,032	366
Kenya	484	10
Qatar	8,518	22
Latvia	12,587	197
Singapore	4,195	10
Norway	4,288	18
Nigeria	106	1
Estonia	16,027	127
Zambia	1,176	21
North Macedonia	10,053	352
Algeria	483	14
Botswana	8,427	105
Albania	6,771	105
Australia	755	7
Uzbekistan	566	4
Kyrgyzstan	2,825	42
Finland	3,085	22
Kosovo	8,970	166
Afghanistan	412	19
Montenegro	24,498	356
Mozambique	499	6
Zimbabwe	911	32
Ghana	430	4
Namibia	5,174	143
Cyprus	10,653	49
Uganda	287	7
Cambodia	725	17
El Salvador	1,829	58
Cameroon	410	7
Rwanda	793	11
Mainland China	7	< 1
Jamaica	3,063	79
Maldives	16,950	47
Luxembourg	13,670	139
Senegal	454	12
Angola	204	5
Trinidad and Tobago	4,493	134
Malawi	332	12
Ivory Coast	239	3
Dem. Rep. Congo	67	1
Réunion	6,240	42
Laos	767	1
Guadeloupe	13,709	205
Fiji	5,891	78
Suriname	8,614	196
Eswatini	4,048	108
Syria	272	16
French Polynesia	16,318	228
French Guiana	15,189	108
Martinique	11,715	187
Madagascar	162	4
Sudan	96	7
Cabo Verde	6,964	64
Malta	7,611	92
Mauritania	844	18
Guyana	4,710	123
Gabon	1,693	12
Papua New Guinea	376	5
Guinea	241	3
Belize	7,456	139
Tanzania	45	1
Togo	324	3
Benin	210	1
Haiti	219	6
Somalia	148	9
Seychelles	23,275	125
Bahamas	5,803	171
Barbados	7,775	68
Lesotho	1,021	31
Mayotte	7,621	68
Burundi	176	< 1
East Timor	1,532	9
Mauritius	1,499	19
Congo	342	6
Tajikistan	188	1
Curaçao	10,940	111
Nicaragua	258	3
Mali	85	3
Taiwan	69	4
Aruba	15,133	162
Andorra	20,620	169
Iceland	4,357	9
Burkina Faso	75	1
Channel Islands	8,734	60
Brunei	3,281	22
Djibouti	1,386	19
Equatorial Guinea	994	12
Saint Lucia	7,023	148
South Sudan	114	1
Hong Kong	165	3
Central African Republic	246	2
New Caledonia	4,038	95
Isle of Man	12,173	76
Gambia	425	15
Yemen	34	7
New Zealand	185	1