Data says the worst COVID-19 prediction is true. Part 1.



“A long, slow, steady, relentless climb in infections and deaths of the unvaccinated continues,” is one of the findings of a weekend civil society conference on the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.

Ending Monday, hosted from CSPaC in Singapore, a weekend civil society conference on the COVID-19 pandemic to evaluate the continued role of Civil Society in the Global SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, differentiated between larger developed nations versus larger developing nations, noting that the infection and outcome patterns exhibited in the very small countries had too wide a scope of cause, to narrow down explicitly.


by Melissa Hemingway


 

“There are some fundamental catastrophic issues we believe are trending,” explained Kathy Poon, a biostatistician and medical researcher, who coordinated the discussion panels.

Biostatisticians and civil society field workers from the conference report:

World COVID-19 Data

A long, slow, steady, relentless, climb in infections and deaths of the unvaccinated continues.

As whole populations discard their masks and jam up the sewers and the oceans with non-biodegradable trash, the claim they make is that the pandemic is over and “We are opening up“.

“But nothing about the data says anything like that. The countries which are telling the truth about what is happening say their hospitals cannot keep up,” says Dr. Nassima al Amouri who gave a lecture during the conference.


Millions of discarded single-use plastics (masks, gloves, aprons, and bottles of sanitizers) have been added to the terrestrial environment and could cause a surge in plastics washing up the ocean coastlines and littering the seabed,” writes doctors Nsikak U. Benson, David E. Bassey and Thavamani Palanisami.


The weekend’s civil society conference heard from The Nurses Without Borders that there are about seven million too few nurses working today around the world, partly because many nurses have been compelled to stay home and provide child care during the lockdowns of billions of people around the world. The remaining health care workers, mostly women because 72% of health care workers are women, said the civil society nursing group, and they are exhausted, over-stressed and suffering PTSD.

 

This has been validated: “It is safe to say that people who are unvaccinated are going to die from COVID-19 eventually,” says expert.


“This was a prediction of Dr. Fredrick Harris of
CSPaC, our team leader here in Singapore who said in the spring, ‘It is safe to say that people who are unvaccinated are going to die from COVID-19 eventually. That’s the best way I have of explaining the data,’ is what he said then,” explained Ms. Poon.

“He said that about five months ago after we reached some conclusions. That statement has been so sensitive among anti-vaccine rabble rousers that we have three scientists studying the data very closely ever since. This is among the worst scenarios forecasted by anyone during this pandemic, and it is a valid hypothesis. The data in the past six months proves this to be true,” she explained.

“We had used developed nations like Canada, as examples. It’s like this. If a country with a very good health care system cannot keep the death rate of the unvaccinated patients, down low, nobody can.”

“Then in the United States, some staggering realities begun to show. It is almost safe to say that every person in the USA has been infected largely, mildly, or asymptomatically, with the SARS-CoV-2 virus.”


“It is also true that people are becoming re-infected if they are not vaccinated. Those people will continue to become re-infected over what period of time we do not know, but there will likely be at least 6 months between new infections, until they die from COVID-19.”


USA COVID-19 Infections (pop. 332,914,415 with 47,472,112 reported cases and over 48 Million including territories and USA  Armed Forces.)

  • 14,386 tested and confirmed infections per 100,000 people and 233 reported deaths per 100,000 people.
  • CoV19 Reported Cases: 48,039,300
  • Current Reported Deaths:(CFR: 1.644%): 780,580 Estimated actual884,021
  • Cured: 38,050,509
  • Beta experimental: All time reported + unreported asymptomatic people maybe not sick, not immune, but possibly infectious and including the many people who have had several mild or asymptomatic infections: 243,531,934.56
  • 73.152% of the USA may have been infected or even reinfected including reported + estimated unreported mild and estimated asymptomatic (243,531,934.56) persons, some of whom may not have been ill in the first course of the disease, but could have spread the disease.

Below: Nations with highest number of cumulative  COVID-19 Cases

Click any image to enlarge and read.

25 Nations with the most cumulative COVID-19 Cases

25 Nations with the most cumulative COVID-19 Cases Source: Civil Society Partners against COVID-19

Below: Nations with highest COVID-19 Case Fatality Rates, that is the percentage of reported total confirmed patients who die from COVID-19.

Highest reported Case Fatality Rates / COVID-19 Disease

Highest reported Case Fatality Rates / COVID-19 Disease Source: Civil Society Partners against COVID-19

Below: The watchlist of countries having over one million cumulative cases.

Countries with COVID-19 Case Sums over 1M

Countries with COVID-19 Case Sums over 1M Source: Civil Society Partners against COVID-19

SARS2 Update 2022-06-30 04:00 GMT

  • 254 Regions reported 550,329,302 cases
  • 16,429,329 cases active
  • 6,373,561 people reported killed by COVID-19
  • 1.16% is current Case Fatality Rate (CFR)
  • 527,526,412 survived COVID-19

Beta Technology Global Estimates

EPICENTER: USA (87,513,434)

  • 145.42% of the USA may have been infected or even reinfected including reported + estimated unreported mild and estimated asymptomatic (483,949,290.02) human infections, some of which may not have been ill in their first course of the disease, but could have spread the disease.
  • 1.18% is USA current Case Fatality Rate (CFR) &
  • 0.27% is estimated inferred average Infection Fatality Rate (IFR)
  • 1,306,663 estimated total COVID-19 deaths including unreported likely-cause excess deaths. According to projections of IHME, IHME calculation of excess deaths is slightly higher than what CSPaC is showing.

Below: Cases and Deaths per 100,000 population. Ranking by total reported cases yesterday.

Source CSPaC

Locales ordered by number of cases Cases/100k population  Deaths/100k population
United States 14,386 233
India 2,521 34
Brazil 10,406 290
United Kingdom 14,364 214
Russia 6,203 174
Turkey 10,109 88
France 10,601 173
Iran 7,291 155
Argentina 11,810 259
Germany 6,098 118
Spain 10,742 186
Colombia 10,001 254
Italy 8,069 220
Indonesia 1,571 53
Mexico 3,014 228
Ukraine 7,618 185
Poland 8,464 208
South Africa 4,997 153
Philippines 2,607 42
Malaysia 7,986 93
Netherlands 13,352 108
Peru 6,814 617
Iraq 5,266 60
Thailand 2,908 29
Czech Republic 17,771 296
Canada 4,684 78
Romania 9,012 275
Chile 9,174 201
Japan 1,366 15
Bangladesh 965 17
Belgium 12,928 229
Israel 14,777 90
Pakistan 591 13
Serbia 17,490 157
Sweden 11,497 147
Portugal 10,794 178
Kazakhstan 5,610 95
Vietnam 1,073 24
Austria 10,944 132
Hungary 9,835 329
Cuba 8,462 73
Morocco 2,600 40
Switzerland 10,714 132
Jordan 8,865 111
Greece 7,828 157
Nepal 2,857 40
Georgia 21,124 297
United Arab Emirates 7,584 22
Tunisia 6,120 216
Bulgaria 9,445 381
Lebanon 9,524 125
Belarus 6,647 51
Guatemala 3,674 95
Costa Rica 11,187 143
Slovakia 10,331 249
Azerbaijan 5,606 75
Sri Lanka 2,533 64
Saudi Arabia 1,603 26
Croatia 13,273 244
Bolivia 4,547 165
Ecuador 3,003 190
Myanmar 951 35
Ireland 10,087 113
Panama 11,177 173
Paraguay 6,558 232
West Bank + Gaza 9,757 101
Lithuania 15,938 228
Denmark 7,338 48
Venezuela 1,472 18
Kuwait 9,818 59
South Korea 773 6
Dominican Republic 3,697 39
Uruguay 11,459 176
Slovenia 18,198 237
Honduras 3,869 106
Mongolia 11,576 59
Ethiopia 329 6
Libya 5,389 78
Moldova 13,312 322
Egypt 344 19
Armenia 11,135 239
Oman 6,119 83
Bahrain 16,893 85
Bosnia–Herzegovina 8,032 366
Kenya 484 10
Qatar 8,518 22
Latvia 12,587 197
Singapore 4,195 10
Norway 4,288 18
Nigeria 106 1
Estonia 16,027 127
Zambia 1,176 21
North Macedonia 10,053 352
Algeria 483 14
Botswana 8,427 105
Albania 6,771 105
Australia 755 7
Uzbekistan 566 4
Kyrgyzstan 2,825 42
Finland 3,085 22
Kosovo 8,970 166
Afghanistan 412 19
Montenegro 24,498 356
Mozambique 499 6
Zimbabwe 911 32
Ghana 430 4
Namibia 5,174 143
Cyprus 10,653 49
Uganda 287 7
Cambodia 725 17
El Salvador 1,829 58
Cameroon 410 7
Rwanda 793 11
Mainland China 7 < 1
Jamaica 3,063 79
Maldives 16,950 47
Luxembourg 13,670 139
Senegal 454 12
Angola 204 5
Trinidad and Tobago 4,493 134
Malawi 332 12
Ivory Coast 239 3
Dem. Rep. Congo 67 1
Réunion 6,240 42
Laos 767 1
Guadeloupe 13,709 205
Fiji 5,891 78
Suriname 8,614 196
Eswatini 4,048 108
Syria 272 16
French Polynesia 16,318 228
French Guiana 15,189 108
Martinique 11,715 187
Madagascar 162 4
Sudan 96 7
Cabo Verde 6,964 64
Malta 7,611 92
Mauritania 844 18
Guyana 4,710 123
Gabon 1,693 12
Papua New Guinea 376 5
Guinea 241 3
Belize 7,456 139
Tanzania 45 1
Togo 324 3
Benin 210 1
Haiti 219 6
Somalia 148 9
Seychelles 23,275 125
Bahamas 5,803 171
Barbados 7,775 68
Lesotho 1,021 31
Mayotte 7,621 68
Burundi 176 < 1
East Timor 1,532 9
Mauritius 1,499 19
Congo 342 6
Tajikistan 188 1
Curaçao 10,940 111
Nicaragua 258 3
Mali 85 3
Taiwan 69 4
Aruba 15,133 162
Andorra 20,620 169
Iceland 4,357 9
Burkina Faso 75 1
Channel Islands 8,734 60
Brunei 3,281 22
Djibouti 1,386 19
Equatorial Guinea 994 12
Saint Lucia 7,023 148
South Sudan 114 1
Hong Kong 165 3
Central African Republic 246 2
New Caledonia 4,038 95
Isle of Man 12,173 76
Gambia 425 15
Yemen 34 7
New Zealand 185 1