CSPaC biostatisticians believe pandemic end may be 2022 bar a worse mutation



From Alpha to Omicron, the SARS-CoV-2 virus has slammed the human species across  three years, but the end is near, bar a worse mutation while Omicron infects billions, says infectious disease researchers.

SARS-CoV-2 cannot improve indefinitely. Laws of biochemistry say it will evolve a spike protein that binds to ACE2 as strongly as possible,” says Ben Krishna, Postdoctoral Researcher, Immunology and Virology, University of Cambridge. Read if you wish: Omicron may not be the final SARS2 variant, but it could be a final VoC.

This is going to be a rough period, the first three months of 2022.

Existing vaccines and any quantum of the vaccinated public are not preventing infection in the United States and Canada, shown in this article in graphs, nor any other country currently surging with Omicron according to CSPaC and other biostatisticians tracking COVID-19 spread.

In the USA, active COVID-19 cases rose 1.7 million in a little more than three weeks, from 1 December through Christmas day 2021. (Source CSPaC.) These cases in the earlier part of the month were mostly Delta variants which clearly is highly morbid, and the latter part of the month is estimated to be around 75% Omicron according to the CSPaC COVID-19 tracking team in Singapore. (See graphs below.)

From Alpha to Omicron- SARS-CoV-2

From Alpha variant to Omicron, the SARS-CoV-2 Virus has slammed the Human race across three years. Are we ready to stop it now?
Art/Cropping/Enhancement: Rosa Yamamoto FPMag


“It is going to be very difficult to estimate the exact CFR for Omicron by separating Delta, Beta and Omicron, however it is clear the CFR is dropping artificially as Omicron infections rise and that will not be reconciled until maybe two months have passed. We will have a better idea of how morbid Omicron will be at the end of January or a little sooner,” said Dr. Fred Harris, infectious disease researcher of the Civil Society Partners against COVID-19 tracking team in Singapore.

Thousands of flights have been cancelled, probably more than 6,500, over Christmas for a number of COVID-19 related reasons, particularly crew availability. Over 8,000 flights were delayed according to FlightAware.com.

In the USA, active COVID-19 cases rose 1.7 million in a little more than three weeks in December 2021 says CSPaC and Johns Hopkins University data.

Click any image to enlarge and read.

USA Active Cases grew 1.7 Million 24 days

1 December through 25 December 2021
USA Active Cases grew 1.7 Million. Source: Civil Society Partners against COVID-19


In Canada, Active cases rose over 90,000 from 1 December to Christmas Day 2021

Click any image to enlarge and read.

Vaccinated or Not SARS-CoV-2/Omicron Active Cases increased rapidly

Vaccinated or Not Canada is slammed by Omicron/B.1.1.529 variant without Variant-specific Vaccines, however outcomes are mostly mild in other countries. Canada has no data yet. Note: Alberta data is 22 December (outdated). Alberta’s numbers are colossal according to health unit staff but will not be released by Alberta Health until around December 29 2021 according to officials in Edmonton. An example of how SARS-CoV-2/Omicron Active Cases increased rapidly in a country, Canada, that is well vaccinated. Source: Civil Society Partners against COVID-19

Experts worry that another vastly spreading and more deadly variant could emerge from the new millions of infections caused by SARS-CoV-2/Omicron.

“When an organism replicates, it makes a copy of its entire genome to pass on to its offspring. Sometimes errors in the copying process can lead to mutations in which one or more building blocks are swapped, deleted or inserted. This may alter genes, the instruction sheets for the proteins that allow an organism to function, and can ultimately affect the physical characteristics of that organism. In humans, for example, eye and hair color are the result of genetic variations that can arise from mutations. In the case of the virus that causes COVID-19SARS-CoV-2, mutations can change its ability to spread, cause infection or even evade the immune system.”
Citing Andre Hudson and Crista Wadsworth, Rochester Institute of Technology in: “How researchers identified Omicron and other variants

From Alpha to Omicron, the SARS-CoV-2 Virus has slammed the human species for now three years.

Click any image to enlarge and read.

From Alpha to Omicron

From Alpha to Omicron, The SARS-CoV-2 Virus has slammed the human species for now three years. Source: Centers for Disease Control and Nature Magazine. Art/Cropping/Enhancement: Rosa Yamamoto FPMag