World hits 200M reported COVID-19 cases. More vaccinations, better masks needed say experts like Dr. Scott Gottlieb



As the medical practitioners and patients slug it out with the Delta variant of COVID-19, it seems clear that the COVID-19 pandemic is not going away anytime soon.

“Today the total world sum of COVID-19 infection cases surpassed 200 million. Several projections put the actual number of fatalities at over nine million deaths or more,” says Kathy Poon, who has been relieving biostatisticians who have taken annual leave at the Civil Society Partners COVID-19 tracking center in Singapore.

India’s science and technology minister Jitendra Singh announced last Friday that up to 70 cases of the delta-plus variant were detected in genome sequencing as of July 23, the Hindustan Times has reported.


by Melissa Hemingway and Micheal John


“According to the statistical data, this so called delta-plus variant named as a Variant Of Concern (VOC) in India, has not outperformed the root delta variant in numbers of infections or morbidity, as yet,” said Ms. Poon.

“But some doctors in India are claiming that the delta-plus strain has the ability to escape the antibodies and T-cell immunity provided by previous infections of the original virus strain and by vaccinations. However, there is no evidence to support that claim,” she added.

 

delta SARS-CoV-2

SARS-CoV-2
Colorized scanning electron micrograph of an apoptotic cell (green) heavily infected with SARS-COV-2 virus particles (orange), isolated from a patient sample. Image captured at the NIAID Integrated Research Facility (IRF) in Fort Detrick, Maryland. Photo Credit: NIAID
Art/Cropping/Enhancement: Rosa Yamamoto FPMag

WHO: Delta Pango: B.1.617.2 GISAID: G/452R.V3
Delta Plus B.1.617.2.1  AY.1, AY.2, AY.3

Submitted delta counts as of 3 August 2021 (Source: GISAID)

Country Total #Delta G/478K.V1 (B.1.617.2+AY.1+AY.2+AY.3) #Delta G/478K.V1 (B.1.617.2+AY.1+AY.2+AY.3) in past 4 weeks %Delta G/478K.V1 (B.1.617.2+AY.1+AY.2+AY.3) in past 4 weeks
UK 194,790 52,269 99.7
USA 36,454 11,933 87.2
India 15,891 30 100.0
Denmark 14,997 12,476 96.3
Germany 6,733 2,742 92.0
Italy 5,117 3,045 86.2
Sweden 4,579 1,773 92.8
Spain 4,542 1,458 88.1
Netherlands 4,491 2,485 90.7
France 4,099 1,451 32.2

 

According to Dr. Theresa Tam, Canada’s Chief Public Health Officer, her nation is on the threshold of a delta-variant driven “fourth wave”.  Canada has not yet shown any widespread outbreak of the delta strain but some regions have begun to see local community transmission of the delta strain.  CSPaC is predicting a milder-outcome SARS2 surge in Canada by mid-August and possible fourth wave in the fall.

“Milder outcome means that we and others do not believe that the rate of bad outcomes, like serious, prolonged illness, and death, will be as bad as earlier waves in Doctor Tam’s country. That is the conjecture because Canada is doing a better job of vaccinating its communities than most countries, and has a plan in place to get ahead of the current incipient wave,” said Ms. Poon.

“But this ‘milder outcome’ is dependent on many more Canadians getting vaccinated and everyone wearing proper N-95 or equivalent respirators. The delta strain infects faster and quickly builds a large replication volume from converted [hijacked] host body cells. This makes for highly infectious hosts, say the epidemiologists who have studied the data. Our statistical evidence confirms these deductions,” she said.

Watch Video: Former US FDA Commissioner Dr. Scott Gottlieb says wear a better mask, an N-95 respirator.


The United States COVID-19 Pandemic Epicenter

Data below is for January 18, 2022

Here are the reported and estimated United States data for 2022-01-17 EST.

Reported:
All USASum of CasesDeathsRecoveredActive
Continental USA66,712,084869,89542,594,37423,247,815
USA+territories67,454,108874,32143,165,667 23,414,120
Estimated:



USA+territories342,232,990.92958,252221,439,872119,825,795

See also IHME Estimates for America.


Global COVID-19 251 Countries/Territories Statistical Data as the world exceeds 200 million cases.

Source: CSPaC

253 Locales report 331,410,518 COVID-19 cases of which there are 53,082,854 active cases, therefore 272,745,617 recoveries and 5,582,047 fatalities.

GMT 2022-01-18 02:41

Data reported should be in accordance with the applied case definitions and testing strategies in each locale as their governments report daily or from time to time. All data researched and published by The RINJ Foundation and partners in CSPaC.

©The RINJ Foundation 2020-2022-01-18T02:41:37Z #Singapore-SK-HUK-77
RINJ is with Civil Society Solidarity Partners against COVID-19.

SARS2 Update 2022-01-18 02:41 GMT

  • Global Population: 7,871,660,945
  • 253 Regions reported 331,410,518 cases
  • 53,082,854 cases active
  • 5,582,047 people reported killed by COVID-19
  • 1.68% is current Case Fatality Rate (CFR)
  • 272,745,617 survived COVID-19
Beta Technology Global Estimates
  • 21.60% of all humans (1,700,135,957) have been infected
  • 0.75% Global estimated inferred average Infection Fatality Rate (IFR)
    (influenza is .1% or 6 per 100k (2019))
  • 12,777,026 Total deaths (estimated actual) including errors, unexpected deaths with pneumonia indications with no history, and unreported likely-cause excess deaths such as people who never went to a hospital but had COVID-19 indications but never tested.
USA (67,454,108)
  • 102.95% of the USA may have been infected including reported + estimated unreported mild and estimated asymptomatic (342,232,990.92) persons, some of whom may not have been ill in their first course of the disease, but could have spread the disease.
  • 1.30% is USA current Case Fatality Rate (CFR) &
  • 0.28% is estimated inferred average Infection Fatality Rate (IFR)
  • 958,252 estimated total COVID-19 deaths including unreported likely-cause excess deaths. According to projections of IHME, IHME calculation of excess deaths is higher than what CSPaC is showing.
  • The American Epicenter has 44.11 % of global 'active' cases (23,414,120 USA / 53,082,854 Global), people infected with COVID-19 now.

Below: CSPAC estimated 2022-01-18 02:27 GMT COVID-19 data for India.

EPICENTER-2: India (37,602,832)

Reported*Cases*Deaths*CFR*Recovered
India37,602,832486,7841.3%35,378,872
*Reported by India but understated.

Note: India's reported death sum and cured data are widely seen among epidemiologists and biostatisticians as unreliable. For example, 2,677,263 is CSPAC estimated sum of deaths while India reports 486,784, creating the largest discepency in the world. India might only report hospital tested cases. Sources among hundreds of nurses and other medical practitioners provide a picture that in summary concludes most cases never present in a hospital especially in northern provinces where health care is less available and utilization is low anyway because of poverty, hence most people die at home in India. This theory could explain discrepancies between reported data and algorithmic estimates.

LocaleCasesDeathsActive
India reported:37,602,832486,7841,737,176
India estimates:192,902,5282,677,2638,731,651

Data collected and reported by: Civil Society Solidarity Partners against COVID-19